undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Donna Shalala

Backtest from 28 Apr 2020 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+14.1%
S&P 500 +17.7%
Last 12 months
+15.4%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.60
S&P 500 0.90
Biggest drop
−21.1%
S&P 500 −23.9%
$10.0k$20.0k 2020202120222023202420252026 $28.9k$23.5k
Donna ShalalaS&P 500 $10,000 in Donna Shalala from 28 Apr 2020 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Donna Shalala (Independent, FL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Donna Shalala's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+14.1%+17.7%
Total return+135%+189%
Last 12 months+15.4%+12.1%
Last 3 months+2.4%—
Last month+4.0%—
This year so far+6.3%—
Volatility a year19.8%16.0%
Sharpe ratio0.600.90
Biggest drop−21.1%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 5000.981.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−2.1% (−0.44)—
Share of weeks up55%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 330 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
TOL10.3%28 Apr 2020+570.1%
AVY8.5%28 Apr 2020+81.9%
LAUR6.0%28 Apr 2020+677.8%
WFC5.3%28 Apr 2020+246.6%
H5.3%28 Apr 2020+240.9%
ALLE4.8%28 Apr 2020+106.2%
HL4.4%28 Apr 2020+465.2%
APLE4.2%28 Apr 2020+171.1%
EXEL4.1%28 Apr 2020+166.7%
COP3.7%28 Apr 2020+383.4%
FLR3.4%28 Apr 2020+341.9%
OXY3.3%28 Apr 2020+332.4%
TER3.3%28 Apr 2020+325.1%
LMT3.1%28 Apr 2020+98.4%
CATY2.4%28 Apr 2020+209.0%
PLNT2.1%28 Apr 2020−7.9%
BKU2.1%28 Apr 2020+168.0%
FIVE2.1%28 Apr 2020+167.0%
HIW2.0%28 Apr 2020+28.1%
SITC1.9%28 Apr 2020+141.9%
WH1.8%28 Apr 2020+134.7%
CWEN1.7%28 Apr 2020+123.0%
VRTX1.7%28 Apr 2020+115.5%
JNJ1.6%28 Apr 2020+112.9%
ABM1.4%28 Apr 2020+81.9%
NOV1.4%28 Apr 2020+78.4%
CHKP1.1%28 Apr 2020+36.1%
AIV1.0%28 Apr 2020+33.0%
BURL1.0%28 Apr 2020+27.2%
AMBA0.9%28 Apr 2020+19.6%
REXR0.9%28 Apr 2020+15.7%
PBYI0.8%28 Apr 2020−1.1%
BIDU0.6%28 Apr 2020−20.3%
IONS0.6%28 Apr 2020−26.9%
BDN0.4%28 Apr 2020−44.8%
MGPI0.4%28 Apr 2020−51.6%
TCMD0.3%28 Apr 2020−57.3%
MED0.1%28 Apr 2020−80.3%
NVCR0.1%28 Apr 2020−81.9%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest28 Apr 2020 to 2 Nov 2026+14.1%+17.7%0.600.90−21.1%0.98−2.1% (−0.44)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+14.3%+21.8%0.641.16−21.1%0.75−1.9% (−0.28)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+13.1%+14.2%0.670.84−11.5%0.43+5.0% (0.39)
DateCompanyAction
28 Apr 2020WHBought
28 Apr 2020WFCBought
28 Apr 2020VRTXBought
28 Apr 2020TOLBought
28 Apr 2020TERBought
28 Apr 2020TCMDBought
28 Apr 2020SITCBought
28 Apr 2020REXRBought
28 Apr 2020PLNTBought
28 Apr 2020PBYIBought
28 Apr 2020OXYBought
28 Apr 2020NVCRBought
28 Apr 2020NOVBought
28 Apr 2020MGPIBought
28 Apr 2020MEDBought
28 Apr 2020LMTBought
28 Apr 2020LAURBought
28 Apr 2020JNJBought
28 Apr 2020IONSBought
28 Apr 2020HLBought
28 Apr 2020HIWBought
28 Apr 2020HBought
28 Apr 2020FLRBought
28 Apr 2020FIVEBought
28 Apr 2020EXELBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

None recorded.

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest