undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Greg Stanton

Backtest from 10 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+59.9%
S&P 500 +21.4%
Last 12 months
+53.1%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.92
S&P 500 1.14
Biggest drop
−47.2%
S&P 500 −16.9%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 2023202420252026 $40.5k$17.8k
Greg StantonS&P 500 $10,000 in Greg Stanton from 10 Nov 2023 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Greg Stanton (Democrat, AZ) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Greg Stanton's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+59.9%+21.4%
Total return+305%+78%
Last 12 months+53.1%+12.1%
Last 3 months+28.3%—
Last month+3.5%—
This year so far+40.7%—
Volatility a year67.0%13.8%
Sharpe ratio0.921.14
Biggest drop−47.2%−16.9%
Beta to the S&P 5001.011.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+46.1% (1.20)—
Share of weeks up61%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 185 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
TRLV100.0%18 Jul 2025+173.3%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest10 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+59.9%+21.4%0.921.14−47.2%1.01+46.1% (1.20)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+70.8%+14.2%0.920.84−47.2%0.38+89.3% (0.87)
DateCompanyAction
18 Jul 2025TRLVBought
10 Nov 2023WMTBought
10 Nov 2023VRTXBought
10 Nov 2023UPSBought
10 Nov 2023TSLABought
10 Nov 2023TMUSBought
10 Nov 2023TMOBought
10 Nov 2023TDYBought
10 Nov 2023SYKBought
10 Nov 2023PLDBought
10 Nov 2023PHBought
10 Nov 2023PGBought
10 Nov 2023PFEBought
10 Nov 2023NOWBought
10 Nov 2023NKEBought
10 Nov 2023MMMBought
10 Nov 2023MDTBought
10 Nov 2023LLYBought
10 Nov 2023KOBought
10 Nov 2023JNJBought
10 Nov 2023IBMBought
10 Nov 2023DEBought
10 Nov 2023CVXBought
10 Nov 2023COSTBought
10 Nov 2023CBBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
18 Jul 2025WMTSold
18 Jul 2025VRTXSold
18 Jul 2025UPSSold
18 Jul 2025TSLASold
18 Jul 2025TMUSSold
18 Jul 2025TMOSold
18 Jul 2025SYKSold
18 Jul 2025PLDSold
18 Jul 2025PHSold
18 Jul 2025PGSold
18 Jul 2025PFESold
18 Jul 2025NOWSold
18 Jul 2025NKESold
18 Jul 2025MMMSold
18 Jul 2025MDTSold
18 Jul 2025LLYSold
18 Jul 2025KOSold
18 Jul 2025JNJSold
18 Jul 2025IBMSold
18 Jul 2025DESold
18 Jul 2025CVXSold
18 Jul 2025COSTSold
18 Jul 2025CBSold
18 Jul 2025CSold
18 Jul 2025BRK.BSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest