undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Joe Courtney

Backtest from 11 May 2016 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+13.7%
S&P 500 +15.0%
Last 12 months
+3.9%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.66
S&P 500 0.77
Biggest drop
−39.6%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $43.3k$38.5k
Joe CourtneyS&P 500 $10,000 in Joe Courtney from 11 May 2016 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Joe Courtney (Democrat, CT) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Joe Courtney's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+13.7%+15.0%
Total return+285%+333%
Last 12 months+3.9%+12.1%
Last 3 months+1.1%—
Last month+0.3%—
This year so far+3.3%—
Volatility a year18.4%16.8%
Sharpe ratio0.660.77
Biggest drop−39.6%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.611.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+4.3% (0.89)—
Share of weeks up76%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 77 reported trades were copied.

Insights

No positions at the latest rebalance.

PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest11 May 2016 to 2 Nov 2026+13.7%+15.0%0.660.77−39.6%0.61+4.3% (0.89)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+10.4%+13.9%0.490.66−39.6%0.57+1.9% (0.40)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+4.6%+21.8%−0.821.160.0%0.00−0.1% (−1.40)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+3.9%+14.2%−1.130.840.0%0.00−0.1% (−1.01)
DateCompanyAction
6 Aug 2020FBought
6 Aug 2020BABABought
30 Jul 2020ZTSBought
30 Jul 2020WMTBought
30 Jul 2020VBought
30 Jul 2020UNPBought
30 Jul 2020TMOBought
30 Jul 2020TFCBought
30 Jul 2020STZBought
30 Jul 2020SHWBought
30 Jul 2020ROSTBought
30 Jul 2020PLDBought
30 Jul 2020PEPBought
30 Jul 2020NEEBought
30 Jul 2020MSFTBought
30 Jul 2020MCHPBought
30 Jul 2020LMTBought
30 Jul 2020JPMBought
30 Jul 2020HONBought
30 Jul 2020HLTBought
30 Jul 2020HDBought
30 Jul 2020GOOGLBought
30 Jul 2020FISVBought
30 Jul 2020ELVBought
30 Jul 2020DISBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
13 Apr 2022MFCSold
9 Nov 2020FSold
9 Nov 2020BABASold
28 Aug 2020ZTSSold
28 Aug 2020WMTSold
28 Aug 2020VSold
28 Aug 2020UNPSold
28 Aug 2020TMOSold
28 Aug 2020TFCSold
28 Aug 2020STZSold
28 Aug 2020SHWSold
28 Aug 2020ROSTSold
28 Aug 2020PLDSold
28 Aug 2020PEPSold
28 Aug 2020NEESold
28 Aug 2020MSFTSold
28 Aug 2020MCHPSold
28 Aug 2020LMTSold
28 Aug 2020JPMSold
28 Aug 2020HONSold
28 Aug 2020HLTSold
28 Aug 2020HDSold
28 Aug 2020GOOGLSold
28 Aug 2020FISVSold
28 Aug 2020ELVSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest