undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Kim Schrier

Backtest from 13 Aug 2020 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+22.7%
S&P 500 +15.5%
Last 12 months
+1.5%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.78
S&P 500 0.78
Biggest drop
−31.1%
S&P 500 −23.9%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 2020202120222023202420252026 $35.7k$24.4k
Kim SchrierS&P 500 $10,000 in Kim Schrier from 13 Aug 2020 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Kim Schrier (Democrat, WA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Kim Schrier's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+22.7%+15.5%
Total return+257%+144%
Last 12 months+1.5%+12.1%
Last 3 months+2.2%—
Last month−12.4%—
This year so far+7.8%—
Volatility a year26.3%15.8%
Sharpe ratio0.780.78
Biggest drop−31.1%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 5000.631.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+12.8% (1.30)—
Share of weeks up80%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 39 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
NVDA100.0%16 May 2025+51.8%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest13 Aug 2020 to 2 Nov 2026+22.7%+15.5%0.780.78−31.1%0.63+12.8% (1.30)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+17.9%+21.8%0.661.16−17.3%0.57+5.0% (0.42)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+9.4%+14.2%0.310.84−14.4%1.67−6.8% (−0.28)
DateCompanyAction
16 May 2025NVDABought
15 Nov 2021AAPLBought
13 Aug 2020TSLABought
13 Aug 2020AAPLBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
22 Apr 2022TSLASold
8 Dec 2021AAPLSold
12 Aug 2021AAPLSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest