Blackbaud Inc reports results on Wednesday 28 October, before the market opens. Today’s growth rate sits near the bottom of the company’s own record. Revenue over the twelve months to Q2 2026 was $1.1 billion, which rose 0.7% on the year before.
Source: reported quarterly EPS and aggregated third-party estimates. Historical surprises are context, not a forecast.
View chart data
| Period | Reported EPS | Analysts' estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Sep '25 | $1.10 | $1.07 |
| Dec '25 | $1.19 | $1.14 |
| Mar '26 | $1.14 | $1.12 |
| Jun '26 | $1.33 | $1.28 |
What analysts expect
Analysts have been raising their forecasts going into the report. For the quarter, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, in a range from $1.31 to $1.34, while the average revenue estimate stands at $293.9 million. At the same time, the analysts’ average estimate for full-year EPS is $5.25, which would be up 17.9% on last year (based on 4 analysts). That estimate has risen 1.0% over the past 90 days. Of the analysts’ recommendations, 2 are positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative.
Company guidance
In its latest earnings release, management set 2026 full year financial guidance Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share guidance at $5.15 to $5.25. In its latest earnings release, management set 2026 full year financial guidance GAAP revenue guidance at $1.2 billion to $1.2 billion.
Earnings surprise model
The model estimates EPS could land above the analysts’ average estimate by 1.7%. Its estimated chance of an EPS beat is 75.0%, based on the last 4 quarters. The model shrinks the median recent surprise toward zero and uses a neutral prior for beat frequency; this small sample is a reference estimate, not company guidance.
Track record against estimates
The company reported EPS above the analysts’ average estimate in 4 of the last 4 quarters. Last quarter, EPS of $1.33 compared with an estimate of $1.28, above it by 4.2%.
The trends going in
Growth is speeding up. That growth rate was up 1.2 percentage points on the rate a quarter earlier. The trailing gross margin was 59.6%. The trailing operating margin was 19.8%, up 41.6 percentage points from a year earlier. The trailing net margin was 13.1%. Net income over the twelve months was $150.7 million.
Cash flow
Operating cash flow over the twelve months was $339.7 million, up 38.2% on the year before. Capital spending was $10.6 million, or 0.9% of revenue. Free cash flow, operating cash flow less capital spending, was $329.2 million, up 35.3% on the year before. Free cash flow was 28.7% of revenue (the free-cash-flow margin), up 7.3 percentage points from a year earlier. The average diluted share count fell 3.8% over the year.
How today compares
In the context of past results: today’s free-cash-flow margin of 28.7% is above every one of the company’s own past quarterly readings, which have ranged from 8.5% to 26.9%. Today’s operating margin of 19.8% is above every past reading (−23.5% to 19.5%).
Questions this report will answer
Whether the pick-up in revenue growth continues. Whether results land above or below the analysts’ expectations set out above. Alongside that, whether margins hold at the trailing levels above. The next filing will show whether the trends above continue, slow or reverse.
What it means for our valuation
These trends feed directly into what the shares are worth in our model. In our model, growth 5 percentage points lower would lower the value by 30.6%, and 5 percentage points higher would raise it by 40.2%. A free-cash-flow margin 1 percentage point lower would lower it by 3.7%.
