RED Robin Gourmet Burgers reports results on Wednesday 4 November, after the market closes. The company's twelve-month revenue of $1.2 billion fell 3.7% on the year before, but the pace of decline has narrowed: the growth rate was up 0.8 percentage points on the rate a quarter earlier. This report will test whether that pick-up continues.
Source: reported quarterly EPS and aggregated third-party estimates. Historical surprises are context, not a forecast.
View chart data
| Period | Reported EPS | Analysts' estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Sep '25 | −$0.70 | −$0.78 |
| Dec '25 | −$0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Mar '26 | $0.13 | $0.00 |
| Jun '26 | $0.12 | $0.00 |
What analysts expect from RED Robin Gourmet Burgers
The analysts' average EPS estimate for the quarter is −$0.36, in a range from −$0.44 to −$0.28. The average revenue estimate is $251.7 million. For the full year, the analysts' average EPS estimate is −$0.18, which would be up 71.9% on last year; that figure is based on only 3 analysts. All three recommendations on record are positive, with none neutral or negative.
RED Robin Gourmet Burgers' record against estimates
RED Robin reported EPS above the analysts' average estimate in 3 of the last 4 quarters. Last quarter, EPS of $0.12 compared with an estimate of $0.00, above it by 3503.6%.
The trends RED Robin Gourmet Burgers takes into its report
Revenue growth is still negative but the direction has shifted. The trailing operating margin is −0.4%, up 1.9 percentage points from a year earlier, while the trailing net margin sits at −2.5%. Over the twelve months the company posted a net loss of $30.3 million.
Operating cash flow over the twelve months was $22.0 million, down 1.4% on the year before. Capital spending was $23.8 million, or 2.0% of revenue, leaving free cash flow at −$1.8 million. The free-cash-flow margin of −0.2% is up 0.5 percentage points from a year earlier. The average diluted share count rose 7.2% over the year, meaning each dollar of earnings is spread across more shares than a year ago.
Set against its own history, the company's current position varies by metric. The free-cash-flow margin of −0.2% is higher than 41% of past quarterly readings, which have ranged from −3.9% to 5.9%. The operating margin of −0.4% is higher than 43% of past readings, which have ranged from −31.7% to 5.3%. The twelve-month revenue growth rate of −3.7% is higher than only 19% of past readings, which have ranged from −33.9% to 38.5%.
Questions this report will answer
Whether the pick-up in revenue growth continues. Whether results land above or below the analysts' expectations set out above. Whether margins hold at the trailing levels described here.
