W. P. Carey Inc. reports results on Tuesday 27 October, after the market closes. The analysts’ average estimate for quarterly EPS is $0.66, while full-year EPS estimates stand at $3.29. This report will test whether revenue growth maintains its recent pace or slows further.
Source: reported quarterly EPS and aggregated third-party estimates. Historical surprises are context, not a forecast.
View chart data
| Period | Reported EPS | Analysts' estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Sep '25 | $0.67 | $0.64 |
| Dec '25 | $0.66 | $0.67 |
| Mar '26 | $0.71 | $0.63 |
| Jun '26 | $0.92 | $0.72 |
What analysts expect
The consensus view remains positive, with 8 positive recommendations and 7 neutral ones among the covering analysts. No negative recommendations are present in the current set. For the upcoming quarter, the average EPS estimate is $0.66, a single point in the range provided by the group. The average revenue estimate for that same period is $459.7 million. Looking at the full year, the average EPS estimate of $3.29 represents a 27.5% increase over last year’s figure. This projection reflects input from 14 analysts. Over the past 90 days, this full-year estimate has risen by 9.0%.
Earnings surprise model
Our model estimates that EPS could land above the analysts’ average estimate by 4.4%. The estimated chance of an EPS beat is 62.5%, based on the last 4 quarters. This calculation shrinks the median recent surprise toward zero and uses a neutral prior for beat frequency. Because this relies on a small sample, it serves as a reference estimate rather than company guidance or a definitive prediction.
Track record
The company has reported EPS above the analysts’ average estimate in 3 of the last 4 quarters. In the most recent quarter, actual EPS was $0.92 against an estimate of $0.72. This result exceeded expectations by 27.7%. The pattern shows a consistent tendency to outperform the consensus view recently.
The trends going in
Revenue growth is decelerating slightly. Revenue over the twelve months to Q2 2026 was $1.8 billion, which rose 9.0% on the year before. That growth rate was down 0.9 percentage points compared to the rate a quarter earlier. Profitability has expanded sharply in response. Net income over the twelve months was $651.0 million, which rose 93.9% on the year before. The trailing net margin stands at 36.3%. Cash generation is not keeping pace with this profit growth. Operating cash flow over the twelve months was $1.2 billion, down 2.6% on the year before. Capital spending was $548.8 million, or 30.6% of revenue. Free cash flow, defined as operating cash flow less capital spending, was $672.7 million, down 11.7% on the year before. The free-cash-flow margin is 37.6% of revenue, down 8.8 percentage points from a year earlier. The average diluted share count rose 0.9% over the year. Today’s free-cash-flow margin of 37.6% is higher than 88% of the company’s own past quarterly readings, which have ranged from 4.2% to 84.4%. Today’s twelve-month revenue growth rate of 9.0% is higher than 46% of past readings, which range from −27.8% to 102.7%.
Questions this report will answer
The upcoming results will clarify whether the slowdown in revenue growth continues. They will show whether results land above or below the analysts’ expectations set out above. The data will also reveal whether margins hold at the trailing levels described previously. These answers will define the current trajectory of the business without predicting future share-price reactions.
What it means for value
Our model shows high sensitivity to growth assumptions. If growth is 5 percentage points lower, the calculated value drops by 40.2%. If growth is 5 percentage points higher, the value rises by 52.3%. Cash flow efficiency also drives valuation. A free-cash-flow margin 1 percentage point lower would reduce the calculated value by 3.2%.
