HF Sinclair Corp valuation and forecast
Explore the models for HF Sinclair Corp, adjust their assumptions and compare your own valuation with the platform's.
Stock price today
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Fair value per share
Under review: analysts' forecasts describe a different business from the one in the latest filings (spin-off, disposal or merger).
Price vs value
Under review: analysts' forecasts describe a different business from the one in the latest filings (spin-off, disposal or merger). We'll show the comparison once resolved.
Analyst recommendations
Monthly trend
- Oct 202617
- Sep 202616
- Aug 202616
- Jul 202616
Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering HF Sinclair Corp, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.
Price history
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
The assumptions
- Free cash flow (TTM, FY2026 Q3)
- $3.3B
- Less stock-based pay
- $39M
- Cash flow we value
- $2B
- Growth, years 1–5 (base)
- %
- Then fading to
- 2.5%
- Discount rate
- 8.5%
- Net cash added
- $469M
- Diluted shares
- 176M
What would move the value
- Growth 5 points lower
- −24%
- Growth 5 points higher
- +30%
- Free-cash-flow margin 1 point lower
- −10%
- Discount rate 1 point higher
- −16%
Change in our model value when one input moves, all else equal.
DINO valuation questions
- How does Fundamentalytics value HF Sinclair Corp?
- We use the models that fit HF Sinclair Corp's business and available financial data: cash-flow model (dcf), growth cash-flow model, forward price-to-earnings vs peers, residual income, justified price-to-book. Each model has its own assumptions and data requirements. The calculator explains which models are available and lets you adjust their inputs.
Data: SEC EDGAR filings, retrieved October 29, 2026. Method: how we value companies. Disclosures: research and recommendations disclosure. Back to HF Sinclair Corp.