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Gencor Industries Inc: what the price is pricing in

There is no current cash flow reading for Gencor Industries Inc: its latest is from March 31, 2025. Switch lens below to see the other readings and how trading the gap would have done.

What growth in cash flow is the price paying for?

No current reading. The latest is from March 31, 2025: the figures this lens needs have not been filed recently enough (or no longer apply), so there is no position this quarter.

Quarters with a position2014 long, 6 short, since December 31, 2014
Beat the S&P 5009 of 2045.0% of quarters held
Strategy against the index+49.8%cumulative; worst fall -45.1%
$10,000 became$26,281S&P 500 bought and held: $16,783

Over time

The growth in owner earnings (free cash flow after stock-based pay) that would justify the share price in our discounted-cash-flow model, against the growth the model itself assumes from the company's record.

-30%2%35%67%100% 201420162018202120232025 $6.0$11.3$16.6$21.9 Long from 2014-12-31Long from 2015-03-31Long from 2015-06-30Short from 2016-12-31Short from 2017-03-31Long from 2017-12-31Long from 2018-03-31Long from 2018-06-30Long from 2018-09-30Long from 2021-09-30Long from 2021-12-31Long from 2022-03-31Long from 2022-06-30Long from 2022-09-30Long from 2022-12-31Short from 2023-09-30Short from 2024-06-30Short from 2024-09-30Short from 2024-12-31Long from 2025-03-31
Growth our model assumes Growth the price implies Long quarter Short quarter. Lower panel: the share price at each quarter end, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs (the table below gives the price as traded).

$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500

$0$10.0k$20.0k 201420152017201820212022202320242025 $26.3k$16.8k
StrategyS&P 500, buy and hold Hypothetical, before costs. The strategy holds the S&P 500 and only changes on a signal: it switches into GENC in long quarters and adds a short of GENC in short quarters. The gap between the lines is what the signal added or lost.

Skill or luck?

In plain English: Across 20 quarters with a position, this lens beat the S&P 500 in 9, by +3.1% a quarter on average. That could easily be chance. One company is a small sample: the results across all companies are the better guide.

PositionsQuartersBeat the S&P 500Average vs S&P 500, a quarterTypical (median), a quarterA yearConfidence (t)Evidence
Longs 14 42.9% +1.2% −0.9% +0.1% 0.28 No reliable evidence
Shorts 6 50.0% +7.6% +4.3% +30.7% 1.42 Too few quarters
All positions 20 45.0% +3.1% −0.9% +8.4% 0.91 No reliable evidence

Each position is measured against the S&P 500 over the same quarter: a long earns the stock's return minus the index's, a short the index's minus the stock's. "A year" compounds the per-quarter results. Evidence: strong at a t-statistic of 2 or more, some from 1.5; "worse" when the result is that far below zero; one company's history is a small sample, so read these alongside the results across all companies.

Every quarter (27)
FromPrice paidGrowth the price impliesGrowth our model assumesPositionGENCS&P 500
March 31, 2025 $12.16 -12.0% 11.9% Long +15.1% +10.8%
December 31, 2024 $17.65 50.6% 8.8% Short −31.1% −4.3%
September 30, 2024 $20.86 79.7% 9.9% Short −15.4% +2.5%
June 30, 2024 $19.34 99.5% 11.0% Short +7.9% +5.8%
September 30, 2023 $14.13 60.9% 8.2% Short +14.2% +11.6%
June 30, 2023 $15.58 8.6% 13.0% No position −9.3% −3.2%
March 31, 2023 $15.37 27.3% 19.1% No position +1.4% +8.7%
December 31, 2022 $10.10 -6.3% 14.8% Long +52.2% +7.5%
September 30, 2022 $9.01 -30.0%* 12.4% Long +12.1% +7.6%
June 30, 2022 $10.16 -25.0% 10.7% Long −11.3% −4.9%
March 31, 2022 $10.28 -26.7% 3.3% Long −1.2% −16.1%
December 31, 2021 $11.53 -17.8% 2.7% Long −10.8% −4.6%
September 30, 2021 $11.09 -9.6% 2.0% Long +4.0% +11.1%
June 30, 2021 $12.16 -7.4% 2.0% No position −8.8% +0.6%
March 31, 2021 $13.41 6.0% 2.0% No position −9.3% +8.4%
December 31, 2020 $12.30 2.1% 2.0% No position +9.0% +6.3%
September 30, 2018 $12.05 -4.6% 20.0% Long −9.0% −13.5%
June 30, 2018 $16.15 9.6% 20.0% Long −25.4% +7.7%
March 31, 2018 $16.10 5.9% 20.0% Long +0.3% +3.5%
December 31, 2017 $16.55 6.9% 20.0% Long −2.7% −1.0%
September 30, 2017 $17.65 11.4% 20.0% No position −6.2% +6.8%
June 30, 2017 $16.20 19.4% 13.0% No position +8.9% +4.4%
March 31, 2017 $14.95 26.1% 13.0% Short +8.4% +3.1%
December 31, 2016 $15.70 42.9% 13.0% Short −4.8% +5.9%
June 30, 2015 $9.67 -30.0%* 4.0% Long −6.5% −6.4%
March 31, 2015 $10.01 -30.0%* 4.0% Long −3.4% +0.2%
December 31, 2014 $9.40 -30.0%* 4.0% Long +6.5% +0.9%

Price paid: the closing price that day as traded, before any later share split. * At the edge of the range we solve for.

How the test works

At each quarter end since March 2010 we rebuild the models from Gencor Industries Inc's quarters ending at least 90 days earlier (and no more than 200 days before that), using the figures as later filed, including any restatement, and value them at that day's close, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs so that price and share count are on the same basis. A wide enough gap is a long or a short for one quarter (growth 10 points; margin and return on equity 5 points; a PEG under 0.75 or over 3), measured on total return against the S&P 500. The rules were set before the test. No trading or borrowing costs; today's list of companies. Not investment advice. All companies and the results across them.

Compare with peers

Head to head: GENC vs RAILFSTR vs GENCGENC vs PLOW

More: Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment stocks compared, Industrials sector, rankings of US companies

Figures from Gencor Industries Inc's SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), retrieved October 29, 2026. How we read and check them: methodology and data sources. Not investment advice. Back to Gencor Industries Inc.