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Haoxin Holdings Ltd: what the price is pricing in

The price implies earnings growth of -30.0% a year; our model expects 11.4%. That gap is wide enough for a long position this quarter. Switch lens below to see the same question asked of earnings, growth, sales and book value.

No published rating for Haoxin Holdings Ltd: free cash flow after stock pay is not positive. The readings below run our models backwards for research and show how trading the gap would have done; they are not a valuation or a rating. The valuation page shows the models and their status.

What growth in earnings is the price paying for?

The price implies earnings growth of -30.0% a year; our model expects 11.4%.

Market more pessimistic than our model: long this quarter

What the price implies What our model expects

Quarters with a position22 long, 0 short, since March 31, 2026
Beat the S&P 5000 of 20.0% of quarters held
Strategy against the index−13.8%cumulative; worst fall -13.8%

Over time

The earnings growth the price-to-earnings ratio requires, against the growth our model assumes. Net income is already after interest, so it is valued at the return shareholders require, plus spare cash (none for banks and insurers, whose cash is funded by deposits and policies), with no debt subtracted.

-30%-20%-9%1%11% 2026 $0.4$0.4$0.4$0.5 Long from 2026-03-31Long from 2026-06-30Long from 2026-09-30
Growth our model assumes Growth the P/E implies Long quarter Short quarter. Lower panel: the share price at each quarter end, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs (the table below gives the price as traded).

Skill or luck?

In plain English: With only 2 quarters of positions, Haoxin Holdings Ltd's own record is too short to tell skill from luck. The results across all companies on the priced-in page are the better guide.

PositionsQuartersBeat the S&P 500Average vs S&P 500, a quarterTypical (median), a quarterA yearConfidence (t)Evidence
Longs 2 0.0% −6.9% −6.9% −25.6% — Too few quarters
Shorts 0 — — — — — —
All positions 2 0.0% −6.9% −6.9% −25.6% — Too few quarters

Each position is measured against the S&P 500 over the same quarter: a long earns the stock's return minus the index's, a short the index's minus the stock's. "A year" compounds the per-quarter results. Evidence: strong at a t-statistic of 2 or more, some from 1.5; "worse" when the result is that far below zero; one company's history is a small sample, so read these alongside the results across all companies.

Every quarter (3)
FromPrice paidGrowth the P/E impliesGrowth our model assumesPositionHXHXS&P 500
September 30, 2026 (open) $0.40 -30.0%* 11.4% Long −41.0% −0.8%
June 30, 2026 $0.45 -30.0%* 11.4% Long −11.1% +2.4%
March 31, 2026 $0.39 -30.0%* 11.4% Long +14.8% +15.1%

Price paid: the closing price that day as traded, before any later share split. * At the edge of the range we solve for.

How the test works

At each quarter end since March 2010 we rebuild the models from Haoxin Holdings Ltd's quarters ending at least 90 days earlier (and no more than 200 days before that), using the figures as later filed, including any restatement, and value them at that day's close, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs so that price and share count are on the same basis. A wide enough gap is a long or a short for one quarter (growth 10 points; margin and return on equity 5 points; a PEG under 0.75 or over 3), measured on total return against the S&P 500. The rules were set before the test. No trading or borrowing costs; today's list of companies. Not investment advice. All companies and the results across them.

Compare with peers

Head to head: HXHX vs SWVLHXHX vs SFWLHXHX vs PAMT

More: Cargo Ground Transportation stocks compared, Industrials sector, rankings of US companies

Figures from Haoxin Holdings Ltd's SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q). How we read and check them: methodology and data sources. Not investment advice. Back to Haoxin Holdings Ltd.