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MP Materials Corp. / DE valuation and forecast

Explore the models for MP Materials Corp. / DE, adjust their assumptions and compare your own valuation with the platform's.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Fair value per share

Under review: every model's value for MP Materials Corp. / DE is far from the share price, which usually points to a data problem (a merger, a share-count change, a one-off) rather than a bargain or a bubble.

Price vs value

Under review: free cash flow after stock pay is not positive. We'll show the comparison once resolved.

Your valuation workspace

What is MP worth to you?

Start with the company's financial data. Make the assumptions your own.

5 models available

01 / Assumptions

Follow the forecast

The cash flows behind your value

USD per share
View annual figures
Forecast yearCash flow / share

Negative cash flows are shown in terracotta. Before the terminal value and equity bridge. Residual-income models show excess earnings; dividend models show dividends.

See the range of possibilities

Compare and combine your models

Your weighted value—

Weights start with the platform's included models. Change them to build your own combination. Select a model name to edit its assumptions.

ModelYour value / shareWeight

The platform's price and consistency filters are not reapplied to your scenarios.

Other model types 17 unavailable for MP

Revenue-to-maturity model

This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review.

Cash-flow DCF

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

P/B vs return on equity

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-book

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer P/E

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-FFO

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-sales

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

P/E comparison

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

P/S comparison

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

PEG comparison

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Two-stage dividend discount

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Growing-dividend model

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

REIT funds from operations

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Utility earnings

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Book value / net assets

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Reported crypto treasury NAV

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Proved-reserve NAV

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Model values are estimates under the assumptions shown. They are not share-price forecasts or investment advice.

Valuation models compared

Growth cash-flow modelleft out of the combined value: out of range vs price (0.19x)
~$7.4~$3.4–$11
Forward price-to-earnings vs peersleft out of the combined value: out of range vs price (0.18x)
~$6.8~$6.0–$16
Residual incomeleft out of the combined value: out of range vs price (0.11x)
~$4.3~$2.8–$6.5
Justified price-to-bookleft out of the combined value: out of range vs price (0.05x)
~$1.7~$1.5–$2.0
Forward price-to-sales vs peersleft out of the combined value: out of range vs price (0.18x)
~$6.9~$5.4–$18

Different models answer different questions: the cash-flow models ask what the business generates for owners; the peer multiples ask what similar companies in our coverage trade on. Where they disagree, the gap is the story. Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. How each model works.

Analyst recommendations

19 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy1895%
Hold15%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202651319
  2. Sep 202651319
  3. Aug 202651318
  4. Jul 202651318

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering MP Materials Corp. / DE, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Price history

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MP valuation questions

How does Fundamentalytics value MP Materials Corp. / DE?
We use the models that fit MP Materials Corp. / DE's business and available financial data. Each model has its own assumptions and data requirements. The calculator explains which models are available and lets you adjust their inputs.

Data: SEC EDGAR filings, retrieved October 20, 2026. Method: how we value companies. Disclosures: research and recommendations disclosure. Back to MP Materials Corp. / DE.

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