Triumph Financial, Inc. is a US-listed company in the regional banks industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
Revenue for the twelve months to September 2026 was $472m, up 11.7% on a year earlier, faster than the 8.6% growth a quarter earlier.
Our model value for Triumph Financial is under review, so past values are not shown until it is resolved.
Source: 10-Q filed October 21, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation
Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.
Triumph Financial, Inc.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 11.7% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of 21.4%. Where it lags: net margin of 10.7% ranks 229 of 245 regional banks companies we cover.
Current signal Free cash flow diverging from earnings: TTM free cash flow grew 182.6% while net income grew 404.5%: a 222pp divergence.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
No model value for Triumph Financial, Inc. at the moment. Current status: valuation models disagree too widely to rate. Available reported financials are shown below.
The inputs used by the models below have passed source checks. Individual model values are available below and in the interactive valuator. Their differences are shown explicitly; the platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld.
We value Triumph Financial, Inc. as a bank or lender, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 9.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.98 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | ~$22 ~$14–$34 | Primary model, counts double |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | ~$15 ~$13–$18 | Included |
| Price-to-book vs return on equity (peers) The price-to-book that peers with this return on equity trade on, from a line fitted across peers. | ~$42 ~$21–$63 | Included |
| Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. | ~$31 ~$41–$61 | Included |
| Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$34 ~$32–$41 | Included |
| Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. | ~$17 ~$14–$21 | Included |
| Combined value Individual source-checked model scenarios are available. The platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld. | — | Combined value withheld. Review the individual models and their assumptions. |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Triumph Financial, Inc. with banks and lenders in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moderate moat
How hard Triumph Financial's competitive advantage looks for rivals to wear away, judged from 10 years of its own filings: returns on capital, pricing power, profit durability, cash conversion and discipline.
Net income has been a median 0.9% of total assets over 10 years.
Net margin has been a median 16.5%; its worst year was 2.4%.
The diluted share count fell 4.2% over five years; stock-based pay has been a median 2.8% of revenue.
AI disruption exposure: Medium. In this industry, AI could change how the product is made or sold, without replacing the core asset. The score above includes a 5-point deduction for that exposure (55 before it).
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | $2.04 | +246% | $480m | +9% |
| Next | $3.51 | +72% | $530m | +10% |
Next year's EPS estimate has moved +11.1% in 90 days, across 5 analysts.
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is −0.3% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 1 analyst raised Triumph Financial, Inc.'s forecast and 2 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | $2.05 | $3.16 |
| 60 days ago | $2.05 | $3.16 |
| 30 days ago | $2.04 | $3.15 |
| 7 days ago | $2.02 | $3.28 |
| Now | $2.04 | $3.51 |
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 2026 | $0.60 | $0.52 | −13.0% |
| Jun 2026 | $0.44 | $0.44 | +0.6% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.15 | $0.23 | +53.3% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.30 | $0.43 | +45.4% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Last 12 months +17.4%
| Part | Then | Now | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $419m | $455m | +8.6% |
| Net margin | 3.2% | 8.5% | +161.3% |
| P/E multiple | 94.9x | 39.9x | −58.0% |
| Share count | 24m | 24m | −1.6% |
Biggest factor: net margin.
Last 3 years −5.2%
| Part | Then | Now | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $431m | $455m | +5.6% |
| Net margin | 12.2% | 8.5% | −30.2% |
| P/E multiple | 31.2x | 39.9x | +27.8% |
| Share count | 24m | 24m | +0.7% |
Biggest factor: net margin.
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| TFIN | +145% | −59% | +64% | +13% | −31% | +2% |
| Industry peers (median) | +34% | −4% | −2% | +16% | +10% | +24% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| TFIN | 75% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 64% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| TFIN | −27% | −63% | −28% | −22% | −49% | −26% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since October 29, 2015: 66% from November 24, 2021 to December 19, 2022. Getting back needed a 191% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2026 | 0.0% | −0.7% | +1.2% | — |
| July 21, 2026 | +4.1% | +0.7% | −1.0% | −4.7% |
| April 21, 2026 | −5.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% | −2.0% |
| January 26, 2026 | −5.6% | +0.9% | −7.8% | −15.7% |
| October 15, 2025 | +6.1% | −0.2% | +26.1% | +9.6% |
| July 16, 2025 | −0.3% | +0.9% | +3.3% | −11.2% |
| April 16, 2025 | −5.0% | −2.1% | +1.4% | +19.8% |
| January 22, 2025 | −13.6% | +1.1% | −15.2% | −26.1% |
| October 16, 2024 | +7.8% | +0.4% | +9.8% | +24.6% |
| July 17, 2024 | −12.5% | −2.2% | −7.8% | −11.3% |
| April 17, 2024 | −9.6% | −0.8% | −6.1% | +1.5% |
| January 23, 2024 | −5.4% | +0.4% | −6.1% | −2.6% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q4 | $418.3M |
| FY24 Q1 | $414.9M |
| FY24 Q2 | $417M |
| FY24 Q3 | $418.5M |
| FY24 Q4 | $415.9M |
| FY25 Q1 | $416.4M |
| FY25 Q2 | $419.4M |
| FY25 Q3 | $422.5M |
| FY25 Q4 | $439M |
| FY26 Q1 | $443.2M |
| FY26 Q2 | $455.4M |
| FY26 Q3 | $471.8M |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue growth, TTM YoY |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q4 | -13.7% |
| FY24 Q1 | -13.2% |
| FY24 Q2 | -3.3% |
| FY24 Q3 | -1.5% |
| FY24 Q4 | -0.6% |
| FY25 Q1 | 0.4% |
| FY25 Q2 | 0.6% |
| FY25 Q3 | 1.0% |
| FY25 Q4 | 5.6% |
| FY26 Q1 | 6.4% |
| FY26 Q2 | 8.6% |
| FY26 Q3 | 11.7% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | FCF margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q4 | 10.3% |
| FY24 Q1 | 7.5% |
| FY24 Q2 | 10.7% |
| FY24 Q3 | 14.8% |
| FY24 Q4 | 9.6% |
| FY25 Q1 | 11.9% |
| FY25 Q2 | 9.0% |
| FY25 Q3 | 8.5% |
| FY25 Q4 | 11.9% |
| FY26 Q1 | 14.0% |
| FY26 Q2 | 21.8% |
| FY26 Q3 | 21.4% |
What Triumph Financial earned on its loans and securities in FY2025, what it paid depositors and lenders, and how its revenue split between running costs, credit losses, tax and profit.
| Interest income | $430M | |
|---|---|---|
| Fee and other income | $88.4M | 20.1% of revenue |
| Interest paid | $79.9M | |
| Net interest income | $351M | 79.9% of revenue |
| Revenue | $439M | |
| Non-interest expense | $403M | 91.8% of revenue |
| Credit-loss provisions | $3.1M | 0.7% of revenue |
| Pre-tax profit | $33M | 7.5% of revenue |
| Income tax | $7.6M | 1.7% of revenue |
| Net income | $25.4M | 5.8% of revenue |
| Fiscal year | 2012 Dec 2012 | 2013 Dec 2013 | 2014 Dec 2014 | 2015 Dec 2015 | 2016 Dec 2016 | 2017 Dec 2017 | 2018 Dec 2018 | 2019 Dec 2019 | 2020 Dec 2020 | 2021 Dec 2021 | 2022 Dec 2022 | 2023 Dec 2023 | 2024 Dec 2024 | 2025 Dec 2025 | LTM Sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | |||||||||||||||
| Revenue | 26 | 52 | 105 | 124 | 133 | 196 | 250 | 287 | 345 | 424 | 485 | 418 | 416 | 439 | 472 |
| Net income | 10 | 13 | 18 | 29 | 21 | 36 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 113 | 102 | 41 | 16 | 25 | 50 |
| Diluted EPS | $1.12 | $1.39 | $1.52 | $1.57 | $1.10 | $1.81 | $2.03 | $2.25 | $2.53 | $4.35 | $3.96 | $1.61 | $0.54 | $0.93 | $2.08 |
| Growth (year on year) | |||||||||||||||
| Revenue | — | +99.6% | +103.5% | +17.8% | +7.6% | +47.3% | +27.3% | +15.0% | +20.1% | +22.8% | +14.4% | −13.7% | −0.6% | +5.6% | +11.7% |
| Net income | — | +24.6% | +41.2% | +64.3% | −28.9% | +75.0% | +42.8% | +13.2% | +9.4% | +76.5% | −9.4% | −59.8% | −60.8% | +57.6% | +404.5% |
| Diluted EPS | — | +24.1% | +9.4% | +3.3% | −29.9% | +64.5% | +12.2% | +10.8% | +12.4% | +71.9% | −9.0% | −59.3% | −66.5% | +72.2% | +396.6% |
| Margins | |||||||||||||||
| Net margin | 38.9% | 24.3% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 26.7% | 21.1% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.7% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.0% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 24.1% | 29.5% | 25.2% | 28.2% | 32.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | — |
| Cash flow | |||||||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 4 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 31 | 47 | 74 | 72 | 97 | 137 | 81 | 60 | 59 | 67 | 113 |
| Capital spending | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Free cash flow | 2 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 31 | 47 | 74 | 72 | 97 | 137 | 81 | 60 | 59 | 67 | — |
| Stock-based pay | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 29 | 45 | 71 | 69 | 93 | 117 | 60 | 47 | 44 | 53 | — |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||||||
| Cash | 16 | 86 | 161 | 105 | 115 | 134 | 235 | 198 | 314 | 383 | 408 | 287 | 330 | 248 | 1,033 |
| Total debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 27 | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net debt (negative = net cash) | −16 | −86 | −161 | −105 | −115 | −134 | −235 | −198 | −123 | −356 | −408 | −287 | −330 | −248 | −1,033 |
| Diluted shares | 9m | 9m | 12m | 19m | 18m | 20m | 25m | 26m | 25m | 25m | 25m | 24m | 24m | 24m | 24m |
| Returned to shareholders | |||||||||||||||
| Dividends | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Buybacks | — | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 36 | 1 | 77 | 82 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Total returned | — | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 37 | 4 | 80 | 85 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Quarter | 2024 Q4 Dec 2024 | 2025 Q1 Mar 2025 | 2025 Q2 Jun 2025 | 2025 Q3 Sept 2025 | 2025 Q4 Dec 2025 | 2026 Q1 Mar 2026 | 2026 Q2 Jun 2026 | 2026 Q3 Sept 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||||
| Revenue | 104 | 102 | 108 | 109 | 120 | 106 | 120 | 126 |
| Net income | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 13 |
| Diluted EPS | $0.12 | −$0.03 | $0.15 | $0.04 | $0.77 | $0.23 | $0.44 | $0.52 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||||
| Revenue | −2.4% | +0.5% | +2.8% | +2.9% | +16.0% | +4.2% | +11.3% | +15.0% |
| Net income | −60.1% | −99.6% | +60.9% | −68.1% | +400.6% | — | +157.2% | — |
| Diluted EPS | −68.4% | −121.4% | +87.5% | −78.9% | +541.7% | — | +193.3% | — |
| Margins | ||||||||
| Net margin | 3.7% | 0.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | — | −7.7% | 6.2% | 20.5% | — | 3.1% | 35.5% | 16.9% |
| Cash flow | ||||||||
| Cash from operations | 21 | −4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 5 | 46 | 26 |
| Capital spending | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Free cash flow | — | −8 | 7 | 22 | — | 3 | 43 | 21 |
| Stock-based pay | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | — | −11 | 3 | 18 | — | −0 | 39 | 18 |
| Last 12 months unless stated | TFIN | PEBO | NBHC | FBNC | BY | SRCE | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $472m | $469m | $465m | $463m | $463m | $462m | $255m |
| Revenue growth, last 12 months | 11.7% | 3.3% | 12.5% | 24.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% |
| Revenue growth, 3-year average | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter | 15.0% | 3.7% | 23.5% | 45.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% |
| Net margin | 10.7% | 25.9% | 21.2% | 35.4% | 32.3% | 38.5% | 28.7% |
| Cash from operations / revenue | 24.0% | 37.3% | 36.3% | 61.4% | 35.6% | 51.1% | 34.3% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 21.4% | 36.5% | 28.5% | 59.7% | 35.1% | 49.7% | 31.4% |
| Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average | 14.9% | 31.2% | 31.4% | 51.3% | 34.7% | 48.5% | 29.9% |
| Stock pay / revenue | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Change in share count | 1.6% | 0.6% | 7.8% | −0.0% | 1.5% | −1.3% | 0.4% |
| Measure | Company | Peer median | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth Growth | 11.7% | 12.5% | 135 of 245 |
| Change in growth rate Growth | +3.1pp | +0.0pp | 63 of 244 |
| Net margin Profitability | 10.7% | 28.7% | 229 of 245 |
| Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation | 3.1% | 1.3% | 192 of 206 |
| Change in share count Balance sheet | 1.6% | 0.4% | 154 of 230 |
Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).
| Line of business | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Service | $49.7M | ▲ 40.4% |
| Credit and Debit Card | $7.6M | ▼ 5.2% |
| Deposit Account | $6.7M | ▼ 5.9% |
These categories overlap or exclude eliminations, so shares aren't shown.
From Triumph Financial, Inc.'s 10-K filed February 11, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | $259M | 3.4M | 14.8% | ▲ 2.6% |
| State Street Corp | $112M | 1.5M | 6.4% | ▲ 1.4% |
| Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC | $109M | 1.4M | 6.2% | ▼ 27.6% |
| Altravue Capital, LLC | $107M | 1.4M | 6.1% | ▼ 1.9% |
| Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | $99.2M | 1.3M | 5.7% | ▼ 2.9% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $77.8M | 1.0M | 4.4% | ▲ 2.1% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | $68.6M | 899K | 3.9% | ▲ 2.9% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | $64.1M | 839K | 3.6% | ▲ 0.9% |
| Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss LLC | $49M | 643K | 2.8% | ▼ 15.8% |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | $46.9M | 614K | 2.7% | ▼ 0.2% |
| American Century Companies Inc | $44.8M | 587K | 2.6% | ▲ 22.7% |
| Frontier Capital Management Co LLC | $44.6M | 584K | 2.5% | ▼ 9.4% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Triumph Financial, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Next expected around January 25, 2027 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| Financial statements | SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
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