undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Byron Donalds

Backtest from 10 Feb 2021 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+10.8%
S&P 500 +13.8%
Last 12 months
+6.1%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.50
S&P 500 0.68
Biggest drop
−20.8%
S&P 500 −23.9%
$10.0k$20.0k 202120222023202420252026 $20.9k$18.0k
Byron DonaldsS&P 500 $10,000 in Byron Donalds from 10 Feb 2021 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Byron Donalds (Republican, FL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Byron Donalds's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+10.8%+13.8%
Total return+80%+109%
Last 12 months+6.1%+12.1%
Last 3 months−3.3%—
Last month−6.4%—
This year so far+6.2%—
Volatility a year15.8%15.5%
Sharpe ratio0.500.68
Biggest drop−20.8%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 5000.921.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−1.7% (−0.59)—
Share of weeks up51%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 167 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
FTNT5.1%19 Nov 2025+62.3%
ZTS4.6%10 Feb 2021−45.1%
NFLX4.5%9 Apr 2026−38.5%
LLY4.4%14 May 2026+40.0%
LRCX4.2%8 Sept 2025+119.9%
FIX4.1%8 Jan 2026+24.0%
ANET3.9%15 Apr 2025+124.3%
PH3.9%10 Feb 2021+264.1%
MCK3.9%8 Nov 2024+65.3%
V3.8%27 May 2025+19.6%
APH3.8%27 May 2025+84.3%
MA3.6%10 Feb 2021+103.8%
TW3.6%19 Nov 2025+16.0%
NVDA3.5%14 Aug 2025+12.9%
PGR3.4%19 Nov 2025+11.3%
AMZN3.4%15 Apr 2025+38.5%
MSFT3.4%14 Aug 2025−0.0%
TT3.4%16 Aug 2021+126.0%
CCL3.1%19 Nov 2025+17.2%
IDXX3.1%8 Oct 2025+5.1%
PYPL3.0%9 Apr 2026+28.2%
MRVL3.0%14 May 2026−4.8%
AVGO3.0%15 Apr 2025+84.1%
META2.9%14 Aug 2025−21.6%
GOOGL2.9%14 Aug 2025+40.1%
NOW2.8%9 Mar 2026−11.3%
ADSK2.8%15 Apr 2025−1.5%
MPWR1.6%14 Aug 2025+50.7%
CDNS0.9%16 Aug 2021+118.5%
HWM0.5%14 Aug 2025+21.3%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest10 Feb 2021 to 2 Nov 2026+10.8%+13.8%0.500.68−20.8%0.92−1.7% (−0.59)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+15.4%+21.8%0.721.16−15.7%0.95−4.4% (−1.01)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+8.6%+14.2%0.340.84−10.8%1.25−6.8% (−0.96)
DateCompanyAction
14 May 2026MRVLBought
14 May 2026LLYBought
9 Apr 2026PYPLBought
9 Apr 2026NFLXBought
9 Mar 2026TTDBought
9 Mar 2026NOWBought
8 Jan 2026FIXBought
19 Nov 2025TWBought
19 Nov 2025TTDBought
19 Nov 2025PGRBought
19 Nov 2025FTNTBought
19 Nov 2025CMGBought
19 Nov 2025CCLBought
19 Nov 2025BROBought
8 Oct 2025IDXXBought
8 Sept 2025LRCXBought
14 Aug 2025NVDABought
14 Aug 2025MSFTBought
14 Aug 2025MPWRBought
14 Aug 2025METABought
14 Aug 2025HWMBought
14 Aug 2025HUMBought
14 Aug 2025GOOGLBought
14 Aug 2025DTBought
27 May 2025VBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2026MNSTSold
14 Aug 2026HUMSold
14 Aug 2026GMSold
14 Aug 2026DTSold
14 Aug 2026BMYSold
14 May 2026INTUSold
14 May 2026CMGSold
9 Apr 2026TTDSold
9 Mar 2026PYPLSold
9 Mar 2026BROSold
13 Feb 2026TTDSold
8 Jan 2026ABTSold
8 Oct 2025TWSold
8 Oct 2025TTDSold
8 Oct 2025PGRSold
8 Oct 2025MOHSold
8 Oct 2025FTNTSold
8 Oct 2025CMGSold
8 Oct 2025BROSold
14 Aug 2025ZBRASold
14 Aug 2025WAFDSold
14 Aug 2025VZSold
14 Aug 2025UNHSold
14 Aug 2025TMUSSold
14 Aug 2025TSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest