Cinemark Holdings reports on Tuesday 3 November, before the market opens. The quarter tests whether revenue growth keeps slowing: twelve-month revenue of $3.4 billion to Q2 2026 rose 4.5% on the year before, but that pace has already decelerated from the prior quarter.
Source: reported quarterly EPS and aggregated third-party estimates. Historical surprises are context, not a forecast.
View chart data
| Period | Reported EPS | Analysts' estimate |
|---|---|---|
| Sep '25 | $0.40 | $0.45 |
| Dec '25 | $0.29 | $0.28 |
| Mar '26 | −$0.06 | −$0.06 |
| Jun '26 | $1.19 | $1.02 |
What analysts expect from Cinemark Holdings
The analysts' average EPS estimate for the quarter is $1.01, in a range from $0.97 to $1.04, with an average revenue estimate of $1.0 billion. For the full year, the analysts' average EPS estimate stands at $2.64, up 153.8% on last year, based on 11 analysts. That estimate has risen 23.5% over the past 90 days. The recommendations are 6 positive, 5 neutral, 0 negative.
Earnings surprise model
Our model estimates EPS could land below the analysts' average estimate by 1.6%. The estimated chance of an EPS beat is 50.0%, based on the last 4 quarters. The model shrinks the median recent surprise toward zero and uses a neutral prior for beat frequency; this small sample is a reference estimate, not company guidance.
Cinemark Holdings' record against estimates
Cinemark reported EPS above the analysts' average estimate in 2 of the last 4 quarters. Last quarter, EPS of $1.19 compared with an estimate of $1.02, above it by 16.1%.
Growth has slowed
Revenue growth is decelerating but still exceeds 48% of the company's own past quarterly readings, which have ranged from −91.7% to 622.1%. The twelve-month growth rate of 4.5% is down 2.3 percentage points from the rate a quarter earlier. Trailing net margin is 6.4% and net income over the twelve months fell 26.3% on the year before to $216.6 million. The average diluted share count fell 14.2% over the year, which reduces the share base against which net income is divided.
Questions this report will answer
The report will answer whether the slowdown in revenue growth continues, whether results land above or below the analysts' expectations set out above, and whether margins hold at the trailing levels above.
The value hinges on margins more than growth
In our model, growth 5 percentage points lower would lower the value by 43.3%, and growth 5 percentage points higher would raise it by 56.7%. A free-cash-flow margin 1 percentage point lower would lower it by 24.7%.
