10-Q filed October 29: Deckers Brands
Model value −8.3%
Deckers Brands grew revenue 6.3% year-on-year to $5.58bn in the twelve months to September 2026, a pace that has cooled from 7.9% growth the quarter before. Free-cash-flow margin held firm at 18.9%. Buybacks have trimmed the diluted share count by 7.0% over the year, which boosts the value attached to each remaining share. Our model value has nonetheless fallen, from $204 to $187 a share, well above the current price of $81.99. The rating remains Buy. At that price, the market appears to be pricing in cash flow shrinking by roughly 6.9% a year for five years, a far gloomier outlook than the 12.1% annual revenue growth Deckers has actually delivered.
Source: 10-Q filed October 29, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation