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Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) stock

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NASDAQ: FOSL Nasdaq Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Next results ~November 10, 2026

D Fundamentals grade

Fossil Group, Inc. is a US-listed company in the apparel, accessories & luxury goods industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Fair value per share

~$1.6

Cash-flow model

Base case. Range ~$0.7–$2.9 across our lower- and higher-growth cases (-3%–7% a year).

Price vs value

Overvalued

The price is above our entire value range; our base value is 76% below it.

Price used: $6.68, November 3, 2026

Fossil Group, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Insiders7 buying, 1 selling12 purchases and 1 sale by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
  • Funds74 adding, 39 cuttingOf 31 active managers that changed their stake, 16 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

Value diary

Our note on each quarter Fossil Group files

Where Fossil stands after its latest 10-Q

Revenue for the twelve months to July 2026 was $985m, down 9.1% on a year earlier, a smaller fall than the 11.4% decline a quarter earlier. That puts it 12 of 12 for growth among the apparel, accessories & luxury goods companies we cover. Free-cash-flow margin held at -4.2%. Operating margin widened to -0.6% from -3.6%. The diluted share count is up 6.4% on a year earlier, which dilutes existing holders. Against its peers on growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet, it grades D. It passes 1 of our 6 financial-health checks. Our cash-flow model value is $1.53 a share, against a share price of $6.45.

Source: 10-Q filed August 13, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation

Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 10, 2026 (estimated)

Fossil Group, Inc.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue fell 9.1% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of -4.2%. Where it stands out: stock pay as % of revenue of 0.4% ranks 3 of 26 apparel, accessories & luxury goods companies we cover. Where it lags: revenue growth of -9.1% ranks 26 of 29 apparel, accessories & luxury goods companies we cover.

Our discounted-cash-flow model values the business at ~$1.6 per share in the base case (~$0.7–$2.9 across growth scenarios) — model values under stated assumptions, not a price target.

Current signal Free cash flow diverging from earnings: TTM free cash flow grew 13.5% while net income fell 17.5%: a 31pp divergence.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Highlights

How we pick these

Strengths

  • Margins widening. Operating margin is up 3.0 points on a year ago.

Things to watch

  • Results due soon. Results are expected around 12 November; the share price can move sharply on the day.
  • Priced above our value. The share price of $6.81 is 76% above our value per share of $2.
  • Revenue shrinking. Revenue fell 9.1% over the last 12 months.
  • Loss-making. Operating margin is -0.6%: costs exceed revenue.
  • Burning cash. Free cash flow was -4.2% of revenue over the last 12 months.
  • Share dilution. Diluted shares rose 6.4% in a year.

Latest results: FY2026 Q2

Filed August 13, 2026
Earnings per share
-$0.13 against an average estimate of -$0.42: beat by 69.0%
Revenue
$210m, down 4.9% on a year earlier
Share reaction
+6.5% in the first session after the results on August 12, 2026, against +0.9% for the S&P 500
Guidance given
worldwide net sales growth 3% to 5% (full year 2026); adjusted operating margin 4% to 6% (full year 2026)
Next report
November 10, 2026; average EPS estimate -$0.08

Fossil Group's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day-1.9%
  • 1 week+0.3%
  • 1 month-1.8%
  • This year+81.1%
  • 1 year+224.3%
  • 5 years-51.2%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

Revenue (TTM)
$985M
Operating margin
-0.6%
Net margin
-7.1%
EPS (TTM, diluted)
$-1.23

Growth

Revenue growth
−9.1%
Change in growth rate
+2.3 pts
Share count change
+6.4%

Cash

Free cash flow (TTM)
-$41.2M
FCF margin
-4.2%
Stock pay % of revenue
0.4%

Earnings

Last results
August 12, 2026
Next results (est.)
November 12, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Leadership
  2. Results
  3. Guidance
  4. Announcement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Valuation

Fossil Group, Inc. valuation models and calculator

What the price is pricing in

The share price implies about 17.4% a year of cash-flow growth for five years.That is faster than the -12.0% a year revenue growth Fossil Group has delivered.

Read with care: free cash flow has swung sharply in the past year (often a one-off tax, legal or working-capital item), so the cash-flow base behind this reading may be unusually low or high.

  • Priced in17.4%
  • Last 12 months-9.1%
  • 3 years a year-14.6%
  • 5 years a year-12.0%

Our cash-flow model with every input fixed except growth over the next five years, solved for the growth at which the model value equals the share price ($6.68, Nov 3, 2026). Cash-flow growth then fades to 2.5% a year; discount rate 8.5%. Delivered figures are revenue growth from SEC filings. This is a model exercise, not investment advice or a forecast of the share price. All companies

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03
Sell12-month view
12-month price target
~$1.6
Price used
$6.68close November 3, 2026
Implied change
▼ 76%
Uncertainty
Very high

How we got here: a discounted-cash-flow model of Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow after stock-based pay with after-tax interest added back ($13.2M, FY2026 Q2 TTM), growing 2.8% and 1.9% in the next two years (forecasts, guidance and its record), then back to 2% by year five, and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5%. Lower and higher growth cases span ~$0.7–~$2.9 ; that spread sets a 45% margin before we rate Buy or Sell.

Produced by Fundamentalytics' automated valuation model on November 3, 2026, using delayed market prices. Rating meanings, methodology and conflicts: recommendations disclosure and research disclaimer. General research, not personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances. Prices can fall as well as rise.

Our value per share comes from a discounted-cash-flow model of Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow after stock-based pay ( $13.2M, FY2026 Q2 TTM, with after-tax interest added back): growth for five years as below (the first two years from forecasts, guidance and the company's record), fading to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5%, then cash added and debt and other claims subtracted. These are model values under stated assumptions, not price targets or recommendations.

Valuation models

We value Fossil Group, Inc. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 10.6%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.25 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Cash-flow model (DCF) Free cash flow to the firm (after stock pay, with after-tax interest added back), grown then faded to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5% as the firm rate, less debt and other claims. ~$1.6 ~$0.7–$2.9 Primary model, counts double
Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. — Does not apply: no positive earnings in the latest twelve months
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: the model gives no positive value
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: return on equity is not positive
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (cash-flow model (dcf)) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$1.6 ~$0.7–$2.9 1 model

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Fossil Group, Inc. with Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Value per share under different assumptions
Discount rate ↓ / growth → −5% growth0% growth5% growth10% growth15% growth20% growth
7% $1$2$4$6$8$12
8.5% $0$1$2$4$6$8
10% —$1$1$3$4$6

Valuation multiples over time Market data may be delayed

At fiscal year end 20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025Now
Share price$36.56$25.86$7.77$16.23$7.74$8.67$10.29$4.31$1.46$1.89$3.82$6.81
Market value$1.8bn$1.2bn$377m$798m$389m$443m$543m$223m$76m$100m$207m$386m
+ Net debt (− = net cash)$519m$339m$215m−$3m$29m−$64m−$100m$25m$95m$45m$109m$124m
Enterprise value$2.3bn$1.6bn$591m$795m$418m$379m$443m$248m$172m$145m$316m$510m
Multiples
Price / sales 0.6x0.4x0.1x0.3x0.2x0.3x0.3x0.1x0.1x0.1x0.2x0.4x
Price / earnings 8.1x15.8x————21.4x—————
Price / free cash flow 6.4x8.7x2.4x3.5x—4.8x13.7x——2.5x——
EV / EBITDA 6.1x7.2x—6.1x15.8x—3.6x11.3x———99.7x

Market value uses the period's diluted share count; figures for each fiscal year use that year's results and the price at year end. "Now" uses today's price and the last twelve months.

Moat

50 /100

Moderate moat

How hard Fossil Group's competitive advantage looks for rivals to wear away, judged from 10 years of its own filings: returns on capital, pricing power, profit durability, cash conversion and discipline.

  • Returns on capital 9 / 20

    Cash operating profit has been a median 7.7% of total assets over 10 years.

  • Pricing power 16 / 20

    Gross margin has been a median 50.9%, moving by 3.0 percentage points (standard deviation) across 10 years.

  • Durability 10 / 20

    Operating margin has been a median -1.8%; its worst year was -13.1%.

  • Cash conversion 7 / 20

    Free cash flow was positive in 6 of 10 years, at a median 2.3% of revenue.

  • Discipline 13 / 20

    The diluted share count rose 10.0% over five years; stock-based pay has been a median 0.6% of revenue.

AI disruption exposure: Medium. In this industry, AI could change how the product is made or sold, without replacing the core asset. The score above includes a 5-point deduction for that exposure (55 before it).

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 10, 2026, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $249m and EPS of −$0.08 (range −$0.22 to $0.06) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current −$1.60 −68% $966m −4%
Next $0.13 +108% $979m +1%

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +213.7% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 0 analysts raised Fossil Group, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Fossil Group, Inc., last 90 days
−$4.00 −$3.00 −$2.00 −$1.00 $0.00 $1.00 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: −$0.51 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: −$0.51 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: −$3.17 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: −$1.60 Current fiscal year, Now: −$1.60 −$1.60 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: −$0.23 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: −$0.23 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: −$0.08 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $0.13 Next fiscal year, Now: $0.13 $0.13

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago −$0.51−$0.23
60 days ago −$0.51−$0.23
30 days ago −$3.17−$0.08
7 days ago −$1.60$0.13
Now −$1.60$0.13

Earnings against estimates

Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 −$0.42 −$0.13 +69.0%
Mar 2026 −$0.28 −$0.03 +89.5%
Dec 2025 $0.00 −$0.15 0.0%
Sept 2025 −$0.36 −$0.63 −75.0%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Management guidance

Earnings release, August 12, 2026
  • Worldwide net sales full year 2026 3% growth to 5% growth Raised
    “Worldwide net sales to decline 3% to 5%, with a return to growth in the fourth quarter” source
  • Adjusted operating margin full year 2026 4% to 6% Non-GAAP Raised
    “Adjusted operating margin (1) in the range of 4% to 6%” source

Figures and quotations are management's, copied from the company's own press release (SEC 8-K exhibit) and checked word for word against it. Forward-looking statements are the company's expectations, not ours and not advice; guidance can change or be missed.

How our valuation uses these forecasts

Our cash-flow model grows Fossil Group, Inc.'s revenue by +2.8% next year and +1.9% the year after, then fades back toward its own record by year five. Next year's rate weighs analysts' consensus (-1.3%, weight 33%) , management guidance (+6.8%, weight 40%) and the company's own record (+2.0%, weight 27%) . How the weights are set.

Analyst recommendations

4 analysts, Nov 2026
Buy4100%
Hold00%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Nov 2026134
  2. Oct 2026123
  3. Sep 2026112

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
9.9%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
6.91
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
−24%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
74%
of shares
Held by insiders
4.6%
of shares
Employees
4,500
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

What moved the share price

Last 12 months +227.4%

$2.08 on October 31, 2025 to $6.81

ThenNowEffect
Revenue (last 12 months) $1.1bn $985m −9.1%
P/S multiple 0.1x 0.4x +283.1%
Share count 53m 57m −6.0%

Biggest factor: p/s multiple. Loss-making at one end, so the split uses price/sales.

Last 3 years +278.3%

$1.80 on November 3, 2023 to $6.81

ThenNowEffect
Revenue (last 12 months) $1.6bn $985m −37.7%
P/S multiple 0.1x 0.4x +563.3%
Share count 52m 57m −8.4%

Biggest factor: p/s multiple. Loss-making at one end, so the split uses price/sales.

The effects multiply back to the price change exactly. Results are the last 12 months as known on each date (filings assumed public 45 days after quarter end).

Return and risk by year

Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
FOSL+19%−58%−66%+14%+125%+81%
Industry peers (median)+18%−36%+2%−6%−12%+12%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
FOSL58%50%42%50%42%64%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
FOSL−61%−77%−81%−48%−55%−31%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 99% from November 5, 2015 to April 17, 2024. Getting back needed a 7021% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$1.79 – $7.22
From 52-week high
−5.7%
vs 50-day average
+11.7%
vs 200-day average
+40.7%
Volatility (1 year)
73%
Beta vs S&P 500
2.06

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
7 up, 5 down
typical move ±15.5%
After a week
8 up, 4 down
typical move ±14.9%
After a month
8 up, 4 down
typical move ±28.8%
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
August 12, 2026 +6.5% +0.9% +8.6% −9.7%
May 13, 2026 +10.1% +1.4% 0.0% +11.1%
March 11, 2026 +19.1% −1.6% +8.9% +27.5%
November 13, 2025 −17.3% −1.7% −4.3% +64.9%
August 13, 2025 +34.3% +0.4% +69.1% +78.3%
May 14, 2025 +13.2% +0.6% +16.3% +3.1%
March 12, 2025 +28.1% −0.8% +6.2% −23.4%
November 7, 2024 −10.8% +1.2% +0.8% +62.3%
August 8, 2024 +1.8% +2.8% −1.8% −6.4%
May 8, 2024 −5.2% +0.6% +16.5% +25.8%
March 13, 2024 −5.8% −0.4% +17.4% +4.7%
November 8, 2023 −34.3% −0.7% −28.7% −28.1%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Options strategies

All options ideas

How Fossil Group, Inc.’s listed options are priced, and three ways to use them that follow from our valuation. Quotes are delayed, read November 3, 2026. Check the live chain at your broker before trading.

Cash-secured put

Not offered: rated Sell.

We suggest selling a put only on well-rated companies, at a strike where the price you would pay if assigned (strike less premium) is at or below our fair value.

Covered call

Not offered: no liquid call at or above our price target — the model says the upside is worth more than any listed strike.

For holders: sell a call at a strike at or above our fair value, so the shares are only sold at a price the model calls full value.

Collar

Not offered: no liquid put and call pair for the same expiry.

For holders of a stock trading at or above our fair value: buy a put for a floor and sell a call to pay for it.

General research, not personal advice. Options can lose you more than you expect and are not suitable for everyone: put sellers can be made to buy shares that keep falling, call sellers give up gains above the strike, and results or news can move prices sharply. Chances shown are approximations from each option’s delta. Spreads, fees and early assignment are not modelled.

Fossil Group, Inc. in five measures

Fundamentals grade D
Growth Profitability Cash Balance sheet Value

Growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet are percentiles against the companies we cover in the same industry, from SEC filings (100 = best). Value compares the share price with our modelled value range (50 = at our base value; higher = cheaper). A description of reported data and our model — not a quality score or advice.

Fundamentals

Revenue (TTM) Fossil Group, Inc.
$800M $1B $1.2B $1.4B $1.6B FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Revenue (TTM), FY23 Q3: $1.5B Revenue (TTM), FY23 Q4: $1.4B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q1: $1.3B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q2: $1.3B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q3: $1.2B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q4: $1.1B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q1: $1.1B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q2: $1.1B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q3: $1.1B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q4: $1B Revenue (TTM), FY26 Q1: $995.9M Revenue (TTM), FY26 Q2: $985.2M $985.2M

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 26, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue (TTM)
FY23 Q3 $1.5B
FY23 Q4 $1.4B
FY24 Q1 $1.3B
FY24 Q2 $1.3B
FY24 Q3 $1.2B
FY24 Q4 $1.1B
FY25 Q1 $1.1B
FY25 Q2 $1.1B
FY25 Q3 $1.1B
FY25 Q4 $1B
FY26 Q1 $995.9M
FY26 Q2 $985.2M
Revenue growth, TTM YoY Fossil Group, Inc.
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY23 Q3: -16.6% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY23 Q4: -16.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q1: -17.7% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q2: -19.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q3: -17.9% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q4: -18.9% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q1: -16.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q2: -15.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q3: -12.9% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q4: -12.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY26 Q1: -11.4% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY26 Q2: -9.1% -9.1%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 26, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue growth, TTM YoY
FY23 Q3 -16.6%
FY23 Q4 -16.1%
FY24 Q1 -17.7%
FY24 Q2 -19.1%
FY24 Q3 -17.9%
FY24 Q4 -18.9%
FY25 Q1 -16.3%
FY25 Q2 -15.3%
FY25 Q3 -12.9%
FY25 Q4 -12.3%
FY26 Q1 -11.4%
FY26 Q2 -9.1%
Operating margin (TTM) Fossil Group, Inc.
-15% -10% -5% 0% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Operating margin (TTM), FY23 Q3: -7.9% Operating margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: -10.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q1: -10.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q2: -10.4% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q3: -9.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: -9.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q1: -7.3% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q2: -3.6% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q3: -3.4% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: -1.9% Operating margin (TTM), FY26 Q1: -0.0% Operating margin (TTM), FY26 Q2: -0.6% -0.6%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 26, 2026.

View chart data
Period Operating margin (TTM)
FY23 Q3 -7.9%
FY23 Q4 -10.1%
FY24 Q1 -10.1%
FY24 Q2 -10.4%
FY24 Q3 -9.1%
FY24 Q4 -9.1%
FY25 Q1 -7.3%
FY25 Q2 -3.6%
FY25 Q3 -3.4%
FY25 Q4 -1.9%
FY26 Q1 -0.0%
FY26 Q2 -0.6%
FCF margin (TTM) Fossil Group, Inc.
-10% -5% 0% 5% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 FCF margin (TTM), FY23 Q3: -1.1% FCF margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: -4.8% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q1: 1.4% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q2: 4.3% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q3: 4.8% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: 3.5% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q1: -1.7% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q2: -4.4% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q3: -4.3% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: -6.0% FCF margin (TTM), FY26 Q1: -2.3% FCF margin (TTM), FY26 Q2: -4.2% -4.2%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 26, 2026.

View chart data
Period FCF margin (TTM)
FY23 Q3 -1.1%
FY23 Q4 -4.8%
FY24 Q1 1.4%
FY24 Q2 4.3%
FY24 Q3 4.8%
FY24 Q4 3.5%
FY25 Q1 -1.7%
FY25 Q2 -4.4%
FY25 Q3 -4.3%
FY25 Q4 -6.0%
FY26 Q1 -2.3%
FY26 Q2 -4.2%

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-K/A, 10-Q. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Financial statements

US$ millions unless shown otherwise. Fiscal years, plus the last twelve months (LTM) when newer.

Fiscal year 2009 Jan 2010 2010 Jan 2011 2011 Dec 2011 2012 Dec 2012 2013 Dec 2013 2014 Jan 2015 2015 Jan 2016 2016 Dec 2016 2017 Dec 2017 2018 Dec 2018 2019 Dec 2019 2020 Jan 2021 2021 Jan 2022 2022 Dec 2022 2023 Dec 2023 2024 Dec 2024 2025 Jan 2026 LTM Jul 2026
Income
Revenue 1,548 2,031 2,567 2,858 3,260 3,510 3,229 3,042 2,788 2,541 2,218 1,613 1,870 1,682 1,412 1,145 1,004 985
Gross profit 845 1,155 1,439 1,607 1,862 2,001 1,753 1,578 1,359 1,340 1,099 770 966 831 680 597 563 559
EBITDA 253 417 524 554 644 662 379 222 −343 130 26 −92 122 22 −124 −88 −6 5
Operating income 212 376 472 489 562 567 291 127 −424 63 −28 −135 93 −1 −143 −104 −19 −6
Net income 139 255 295 343 378 377 221 79 −478 −3 −52 −96 25 −44 −157 −103 −78 −70
Diluted EPS $2.07 $3.77 $4.61 $5.59 $6.56 $7.10 $4.51 $1.63 −$9.87 −$0.07 −$1.04 −$1.88 $0.48 −$0.85 −$3.00 −$1.94 −$1.45 −$1.23
Growth (year on year)
Revenue −2.2% +31.2% +26.4% +11.3% +14.1% +7.7% −8.0% −5.8% −8.4% −8.8% −12.7% −27.3% +15.9% −10.0% −16.1% −18.9% −12.3% −9.1%
EBITDA +3.9% +64.8% +25.6% +5.8% +16.1% +2.9% −42.8% −41.5% −254.8% — −79.7% — — −82.1% — — — —
Operating income +2.8% +77.9% +25.4% +3.6% +14.9% +0.9% −48.6% −56.3% −433.7% — −145.3% — — −101.6% — — — —
Net income +0.8% +83.4% +15.5% +16.5% +10.1% −0.4% −41.4% −64.3% −706.3% — — — — — — — — —
Diluted EPS +2.5% +82.1% +22.3% +21.3% +17.4% +8.2% −36.5% −63.9% −705.5% — — — — — — — — —
Margins
Gross margin 54.6% 56.9% 56.1% 56.2% 57.1% 57.0% 54.3% 51.9% 48.7% 52.7% 49.6% 47.7% 51.7% 49.4% 48.1% 52.2% 56.1% 56.7%
EBITDA margin 16.3% 20.5% 20.4% 19.4% 19.7% 18.9% 11.7% 7.3% −12.3% 5.1% 1.2% −5.7% 6.5% 1.3% −8.8% −7.7% −0.6% 0.5%
Operating margin 13.7% 18.5% 18.4% 17.1% 17.2% 16.1% 9.0% 4.2% −15.2% 2.5% −1.3% −8.4% 5.0% −0.1% −10.1% −9.1% −1.9% −0.6%
Net margin 9.0% 12.6% 11.5% 12.0% 11.6% 10.7% 6.8% 2.6% −17.2% −0.1% −2.4% −6.0% 1.4% −2.6% −11.1% −9.0% −7.8% −7.1%
Free-cash-flow margin 14.7% 8.0% 5.5% 11.9% 9.7% 8.4% 8.7% 4.7% 5.5% 9.1% −1.6% 5.7% 2.1% −7.4% −4.8% 3.5% −6.0% −4.2%
Cash flow
Cash from operations 266 209 251 452 412 388 361 210 180 248 −14 101 50 −111 −59 47 −58 −38
Capital spending 38 47 110 112 95 95 80 66 26 18 21 9 10 13 9 7 3 3
Free cash flow 228 163 141 339 316 293 281 144 154 230 −35 93 40 −124 −68 40 −60 −41
Stock-based pay 7 11 15 19 15 19 19 31 30 23 16 11 9 8 6 3 2 3
Free cash flow after stock pay 222 152 127 321 301 274 262 113 124 207 −51 81 30 −132 −74 37 −63 −45
Balance sheet
Cash 405 393 287 177 320 276 289 297 231 403 200 316 251 199 117 124 96 79
Total debt 8 — 9 78 508 626 808 636 446 400 229 252 151 223 213 168 205 203
Net debt (negative = net cash) −397 −393 −278 −99 188 350 519 339 215 −3 29 −64 −100 25 95 45 109 124
Diluted shares 67m 68m 64m 61m 58m 53m 49m 48m 48m 49m 50m 51m 53m 52m 52m 53m 54m 57m
Returned to shareholders
Buybacks 0 199 271 271 582 438 231 7 1 3 4 1 2 12 1 0 0 —
Total returned 0 199 271 271 582 438 231 7 1 3 4 1 2 12 1 0 0 —

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (US and foreign periodic filings); column headings link to the filing. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Growth is left blank when last year's figure was a loss or under 2% of revenue. Share counts and EPS are restated for stock splits. A dash means the company didn't report the figure.

Financial health

1 of 6 checks passed · July 4, 2026
What it owns · $653m
Short-term assets $438mLonger-term assets $215m
What it owes, and who funded it · $338m
Short-term liabilities $248mShareholders' equity $90m
  • Short-term assets cover short-term liabilities $438m of assets due within a year against $248m of liabilities due within a year.
  • Short-term assets cover long-term liabilities Not assessable from the reported split. Not assessable.
  • More cash than debt $79m of cash against $203m of debt.
  • Debt below 40% of shareholders' equity Debt is 226% of equity.
  • Debt burden no higher than five years ago Debt to equity moved from 32% to 226% over five years.
  • A year's operating cash flow covers at least 20% of debt −$38m of operating cash flow against $203m of debt.
  • Operating profit covers interest at least five times over Operating income of −$6m against $28m of interest.

From Fossil Group, Inc.'s latest balance sheet as filed. Checks are fixed, documented rules (methodology), counted only where the company reports the figures — a dot means the filing doesn't break the item out. Descriptions of reported data, not advice.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

Buybacks, last 3 fiscal years
$808,000
Diluted share count
+6.4%
year over year
Sales & admin spending
54.7%
of revenue
Days sales outstanding
41 days
receivables vs revenue

Competitors: side by side with peers

Closest by revenue in apparel, accessories & luxury goods
Last 12 months unless stated FOSL FIGS MOV OXM SGC UFI Median
Revenue, last 12 months $985m $710m $690m $1.5bn $574m $531m $1.5bn
Revenue growth, last 12 months −9.1% 24.7% 5.2% −1.8% −0.4% −7.0% 1.6%
Revenue growth, 3-year average −14.6% 10.1% −0.6% −1.5% 1.6% −5.2% −1.5%
Revenue growth, latest quarter −4.9% 28.8% 4.9% −2.2% 2.6% 4.1% 1.1%
Gross margin 56.7% 68.9% 56.1% 63.6% 37.6% 1.4% 52.5%
Operating margin −0.6% 9.6% 6.9% −0.1% — −2.8% 4.4%
Operating margin, 3-year average −4.9% 5.4% 5.0% 2.5% — −3.6% 2.5%
Net margin −7.1% 8.7% 6.0% −0.5% 1.4% −4.6% 3.9%
Cash from operations / revenue −3.8% 15.2% 10.9% 9.4% 6.0% 5.0% 9.2%
Free-cash-flow margin −4.2% 13.7% 10.3% 3.6% 5.5% 4.1% 7.5%
Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average −1.4% 11.6% 5.5% 4.1% 5.9% −1.0% 5.8%
Stock pay / revenue 0.4% 3.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9%
Change in share count 6.4% 11.3% 1.3% −3.9% −4.9% 1.0% 0.0%

Median of all 29 companies we cover in apparel, accessories & luxury goods. Shaded: best of the six on that line (lowest for stock pay and share-count growth). 3-year figures average the last three 12-month periods; 3-year growth is compound annual. Source: SEC filings.

Peer comparison

29 apparel, accessories & luxury goods companies
Measure Company Peer median Rank
Revenue growth Growth -9.1% 1.6% 26 of 29
Change in growth rate Growth +2.3pp +0.0pp 9 of 29
Gross margin Profitability 56.7% 52.5% 9 of 27
Operating margin Profitability -0.6% 4.5% 19 of 26
Net margin Profitability -7.1% 3.9% 26 of 29
Free-cash-flow margin Cash generation -4.2% 7.6% 25 of 28
Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation 0.4% 1.0% 3 of 26
Long-term debt as % of assets Balance sheet 31.1% 15.1% 19 of 22
Change in share count Balance sheet 6.4% 0.0% 21 of 25
Days sales outstanding Balance sheet 41 days 38 days 15 of 24

Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).

Where the revenue comes from

Fiscal year to January 3, 2026
Products and services
Line of business Revenue Share YoY
Watches $826M 82.3% ▼ 7.9%
Traditional Watches $815M 98.6% ▼ 6.6%
Smartwatches $11.7M 1.4% ▼ 52.8%
Jewelry $91.1M 9.1% ▼ 20.4%
Leathers $69.9M 7.0% ▼ 37.1%
Products Other $17M 1.7% ▼ 22.4%
Geography
Region Revenue YoY
Europe $333M ▼ 6.9%
United States $328M ▼ 18.0%
Asia Pacific $239M ▼ 11.7%
Germany $123M ▼ 10.8%
India $118M ▲ 8.2%
Switzerland $109M ▲ 8.2%
Countries Other Than United States Europe and Asia Pacific $104M ▼ 10.4%

These categories overlap or exclude eliminations, so shares aren't shown.

From Fossil Group, Inc.'s 10-K filed March 12, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.

Who owns it

Funds buying and selling
Reported value
$182M
Institutions reporting
112
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 33.7%
Positions opened / closed
37 / 15

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 74 institutions bought and 39 sold ; the biggest buyer was Nantahala Capital Management, LLC (+5.6M shares) and the biggest seller Millennium Management LLC (−1.1M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC $45.6M 11.0M 25.1% ▲ 103.7%
Blackrock, Inc. $15.3M 3.7M 8.4% ▲ 333.4%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $9.9M 2.4M 5.4% ▲ 12.1%
Hg Vora Capital Management, LLC $9M 2.2M 4.9% 0.0%
Miller Value Partners, LLC $8.9M 2.1M 4.9% ▼ 11.6%
American Century Companies Inc $7.3M 1.8M 4.0% ▲ 57.2%
Acadian Asset Management LLC $6.9M 1.7M 3.8% ▲ 63.3%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $5.6M 1.4M 3.1% ▲ 126.5%
Two Sigma Investments, LP $5.6M 1.4M 3.1% ▼ 0.2%
Ameriprise Financial Inc $5.5M 1.3M 3.0% ▲ 13.5%
Prescott Group Capital Management, L.L.C. $4.1M 980K 2.2% 0.0%
Kanen Wealth Management LLC $3.7M 873K 2.0% ▼ 23.0%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Fossil Group, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Insider purchases History → $1.1M 12 trades by 7 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $305,623 1 trade by 1 insider · 0% under pre-set plans
Net ▲ $754,329 net buying
Insider Date Trade Shares Price Value
Edwards Pamela J Director August 20, 2026 Buy 7,208 $5.58 $40,221
Tifford Gail B Director August 18, 2026 Sell 55,669 $5.49 $305,623
Schoppert Wendy Lee Director May 18, 2026 Buy 24,331 $4.14 $100,730
Schoppert Wendy Lee Director March 16, 2026 Buy 21,929 $4.68 $102,628
Coulter Suzanne M Director December 3, 2025 Buy 28,170 $3.62 $101,975
Greben Randy J CFO November 24, 2025 Buy 20,980 $2.38 $49,932
Edwards Pamela J Director November 21, 2025 Buy 10,000 $2.37 $23,700
Schoppert Wendy Lee Director November 20, 2025 Buy 41,322 $2.47 $102,065
Tifford Gail B Director November 20, 2025 Buy 33,000 $2.40 $79,200
Fogliato Franco CEO November 18, 2025 Buy 50,000 $1.80 $90,000
Fogliato Franco CEO November 18, 2025 Buy 50,000 $1.75 $87,500
Fogliato Franco CEO November 18, 2025 Buy 100,000 $1.82 $182,000

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 1 trade and filings

No trades in Fossil Group, Inc. disclosed in the last 12 months; 1 earlier trade on record.

  • Lamar Smith(TX):Sale (full), $1,001 - $15,000, traded January 27, 2015, filed February 13, 2015

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Next expected around November 12, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced

  • August 12, 2026
  • May 13, 2026
  • March 11, 2026
  • November 13, 2025
  • August 13, 2025
  • May 14, 2025

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Fossil Group, Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
Financial statementsSEC 10-K and 10-Q filings
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Fossil Group, Inc. in brief

What does Fossil Group, Inc. do?
Fossil Group, Inc. is a US-listed company in the apparel, accessories & luxury goods industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s stock ticker?
Fossil Group, Inc. trades under the ticker FOSL on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s revenue, and how fast is it growing?
Over its most recent trailing twelve months, Fossil Group, Inc. reported revenue of $985M, 9.1% lower than a year earlier, according to its SEC filings.
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?
Fossil Group, Inc.'s free-cash-flow margin is -4.2% of revenue over the trailing twelve months, ranking 25 of the 28 apparel, accessories & luxury goods companies we cover.
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s fair value (intrinsic value) per share?
Our discounted-cash-flow model of Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow after stock-based pay gives ~$1.6 per share in the base case, and ~$0.7–$2.9 across growth scenarios. These are model values under stated assumptions — not a price target or a recommendation.
Who are Fossil Group, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Nantahala Capital Management, LLC, Blackrock, Inc. and Vanguard Capital Management LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s market cap?
On November 2, 2026, Fossil Group, Inc.'s market capitalisation was about $386M and net debt of $124M. Market figures come from third-party market data and may be delayed.
How much debt does Fossil Group, Inc. have?
Fossil Group, Inc.'s debt-to-equity ratio is 225.9%, from its latest balance sheet (32.4% five years earlier). The financial health section below sets out its other solvency checks.
Who are Fossil Group, Inc.'s competitors?
In our Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods peer group, the companies closest to Fossil Group, Inc. are Figs, Inc., Movado Group Inc, Oxford Industries Inc, Superior Group Of Companies, Inc. and Unifi Inc. The side-by-side comparison below sets their revenue, margins and growth against Fossil Group, Inc.'s.
Are insiders buying or selling Fossil Group, Inc. stock?
Over the last 12 months, Fossil Group, Inc.'s directors and officers reported 12 open-market purchases and 1 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.
When is Fossil Group, Inc.'s next earnings date?
Around November 10, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Fossil Group, Inc. announces its own schedule.