undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Bradley Scott Schneider

Backtest from 20 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+22.6%
S&P 500 +13.7%
Last 12 months
+42.9%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.75
S&P 500 0.73
Biggest drop
−50.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k$80.0k 201520172019202120232025 $111k$45.4k
Bradley Scott SchneiderS&P 500 $10,000 in Bradley Scott Schneider from 20 Jan 2015 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Bradley Scott Schneider (Democrat, IL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Bradley Scott Schneider's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+22.6%+13.7%
Total return+1009%+354%
Last 12 months+42.9%+12.1%
Last 3 months+2.1%—
Last month+4.8%—
This year so far+26.5%—
Volatility a year30.2%16.5%
Sharpe ratio0.750.73
Biggest drop−50.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.121.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+9.2% (1.32)—
Share of weeks up57%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 110 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
MFC100.0%14 May 2018+235.9%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest20 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026+22.6%+13.7%0.750.73−50.3%1.12+9.2% (1.32)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+22.2%+13.9%0.670.66−50.3%1.13+9.4% (1.03)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+39.0%+21.8%1.491.16−13.8%0.79+17.6% (1.76)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+39.1%+14.2%1.720.84−11.5%0.60+24.4% (1.48)
DateCompanyAction
5 Aug 2019NFLXBought
18 Jun 2019FISVBought
28 May 2019QCOMBought
8 Apr 2019PGRBought
8 Apr 2019MIDDBought
19 Feb 2019CDWBought
19 Feb 2019ATRBought
9 Oct 2018TTWOBought
9 Oct 2018TTDBought
9 Oct 2018PTCBought
16 Jul 2018DXCMBought
11 Jun 2018TDOCBought
11 Jun 2018PGRBought
14 May 2018ULTABought
14 May 2018TRUPBought
14 May 2018TMOBought
14 May 2018NFLXBought
14 May 2018MSFTBought
14 May 2018MMMBought
14 May 2018MFCBought
14 May 2018METABought
14 May 2018MABought
14 May 2018ITWBought
14 May 2018GOOGLBought
14 May 2018FDXBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
7 Aug 2023TDOCSold
7 Aug 2023PGRSold
15 Aug 2022TRUPSold
23 Dec 2019NFLXSold
24 Jun 2019TTDSold
24 Jun 2019TMOSold
24 Jun 2019QCOMSold
24 Jun 2019MSFTSold
24 Jun 2019METASold
24 Jun 2019MASold
24 Jun 2019HDSold
24 Jun 2019GOOGLSold
24 Jun 2019FISVSold
24 Jun 2019COHRSold
24 Jun 2019BABASold
24 Jun 2019AMZNSold
18 Jun 2019PTCSold
28 May 2019MIDDSold
8 Apr 2019FDXSold
8 Apr 2019CDWSold
8 Apr 2019ATRSold
19 Feb 2019RMDSold
2 Jan 2019TTWOSold
2 Jan 2019NFLXSold
9 Oct 2018ULTASold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest