undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Ed Perlmutter

Backtest from 4 Oct 2016 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+8.4%
S&P 500 +15.1%
Last 12 months
+29.8%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.36
S&P 500 0.76
Biggest drop
−48.7%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $41.3k$22.6k
Ed PerlmutterS&P 500 $10,000 in Ed Perlmutter from 4 Oct 2016 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Ed Perlmutter (Democrat, CO) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Ed Perlmutter's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+8.4%+15.1%
Total return+126%+313%
Last 12 months+29.8%+12.1%
Last 3 months+2.4%—
Last month+5.6%—
This year so far+18.8%—
Volatility a year22.9%17.0%
Sharpe ratio0.360.76
Biggest drop−48.7%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.081.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−5.8% (−1.34)—
Share of weeks up57%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 87 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
USB41.9%13 Aug 2020+110.5%
SWK25.4%4 Oct 2016+14.4%
NVDA10.1%10 Aug 2022+1037.3%
COST4.8%11 Jun 2020+278.6%
AMZN4.2%20 Dec 2022+192.1%
AAPL3.7%20 Dec 2022+159.3%
UAL3.6%25 Aug 2021+129.4%
KR2.4%27 Sept 2022+69.1%
SYK1.7%10 Aug 2022+45.7%
MSFT1.1%14 Aug 2020+161.0%
VZ0.9%14 Aug 2017+53.3%
GSK0.1%4 Oct 2016+79.6%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest4 Oct 2016 to 2 Nov 2026+8.4%+15.1%0.360.76−48.7%1.08−5.8% (−1.34)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+6.3%+13.9%0.260.66−48.7%1.07−6.6% (−1.40)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+22.1%+21.8%0.871.16−25.8%1.07+0.3% (0.03)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+30.3%+14.2%1.400.84−14.8%0.75+16.3% (1.11)
DateCompanyAction
20 Dec 2022AMZNBought
20 Dec 2022AAPLBought
27 Sept 2022KRBought
27 Sept 2022CHPTBought
10 Aug 2022SYKBought
10 Aug 2022NVDABought
3 Dec 2021FBought
27 Oct 2021COINBought
25 Aug 2021UALBought
28 Jun 2021GOOGLBought
23 Dec 2020BABABought
23 Dec 2020AMZNBought
12 Nov 2020XYZBought
12 Nov 2020NVDABought
12 Nov 2020BRK.BBought
30 Sept 2020GILDBought
30 Sept 2020AAPLBought
14 Aug 2020PFEBought
14 Aug 2020NEMBought
14 Aug 2020MSFTBought
13 Aug 2020USBBought
11 Jun 2020COSTBought
24 Dec 2019AAPLBought
12 Jul 2019METABought
20 May 2019BABought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
20 Dec 2022CHPTSold
10 Aug 2022NEMSold
17 Jun 2022FSold
17 Jun 2022AMZNSold
26 Jan 2022COINSold
26 Jan 2022BRK.BSold
25 Aug 2021GOOGLSold
25 Aug 2021BABASold
9 Aug 2021XYZSold
9 Aug 2021PFESold
9 Aug 2021NVDASold
9 Aug 2021GILDSold
9 Aug 2021BASold
9 Aug 2021AAPLSold
11 Jun 2020METASold
11 Jun 2020KMISold
11 Jun 2020AMZNSold
11 Jun 2020AAPLSold
4 Sept 2019KRSold
12 Jul 2019GOOGLSold
25 Feb 2019AAPLSold
16 Aug 2018HDSold
1 Dec 2017GESold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest