undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Frank A. LoBiondo

Backtest from 21 Jul 2016 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+15.2%
S&P 500 +14.8%
Last 12 months
+16.0%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.72
S&P 500 0.75
Biggest drop
−32.5%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $42.7k$41.2k
Frank A. LoBiondoS&P 500 $10,000 in Frank A. LoBiondo from 21 Jul 2016 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Frank A. LoBiondo (Independent, NJ) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Frank A. LoBiondo's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+15.2%+14.8%
Total return+327%+312%
Last 12 months+16.0%+12.1%
Last 3 months+5.8%—
Last month+5.0%—
This year so far+12.2%—
Volatility a year18.5%16.9%
Sharpe ratio0.720.75
Biggest drop−32.5%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.971.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+1.1% (0.39)—
Share of weeks up57%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 62 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
AAPL31.9%18 Dec 2018+756.1%
JPM15.9%3 Nov 2017+326.9%
CSCO15.3%20 Sept 2017+310.7%
ABT11.6%21 Jul 2016+210.8%
ACN7.9%7 Nov 2017+111.8%
AMGN7.2%21 Jul 2016+285.4%
BLK7.1%19 Dec 2018+280.1%
NKE3.0%21 Jul 2016−19.8%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest21 Jul 2016 to 2 Nov 2026+15.2%+14.8%0.720.75−32.5%0.97+1.1% (0.39)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+14.8%+13.9%0.670.66−32.5%0.96+1.5% (0.52)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+16.3%+21.8%0.771.16−18.0%0.78−0.8% (−0.13)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+16.4%+14.2%0.880.84−11.2%0.57+6.5% (0.53)
DateCompanyAction
19 Dec 2018BLKBought
18 Dec 2018AAPLBought
7 Nov 2017ACNBought
3 Nov 2017JPMBought
20 Sept 2017CSCOBought
8 Mar 2017USBBought
21 Jul 2016NKEBought
21 Jul 2016AMGNBought
21 Jul 2016ABTBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
14 Jun 2017USBSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest