undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

John R. Curtis

Backtest from 13 Apr 2020 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+17.9%
S&P 500 +18.3%
Last 12 months
+5.5%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.63
S&P 500 0.93
Biggest drop
−26.3%
S&P 500 −23.9%
$10.0k$20.0k 2020202120222023202420252026 $30.0k$29.5k
John R. CurtisS&P 500 $10,000 in John R. Curtis from 13 Apr 2020 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. John R. Curtis (Republican, UT) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

John R. Curtis's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+17.9%+18.3%
Total return+195%+200%
Last 12 months+5.5%+12.1%
Last 3 months−4.3%—
Last month−1.0%—
This year so far+4.5%—
Volatility a year26.6%16.1%
Sharpe ratio0.630.93
Biggest drop−26.3%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 5001.011.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+1.8% (0.21)—
Share of weeks up55%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 268 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
ZM100.0%13 Apr 2020−32.3%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest13 Apr 2020 to 2 Nov 2026+17.9%+18.3%0.630.93−26.3%1.01+1.8% (0.21)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+18.1%+21.8%0.531.16−22.1%0.99+1.8% (0.10)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+12.8%+14.2%0.400.84−20.9%1.21+4.7% (0.12)
DateCompanyAction
5 Oct 2023PANWBought
5 Oct 2023LLYBought
5 Oct 2023EMRBought
14 Aug 2023ULTABought
14 Aug 2023PEPBought
14 Aug 2023CBought
14 Aug 2023AXPBought
8 Aug 2023KOBought
11 May 2023EWBought
11 May 2023ELVBought
28 Mar 2023BRK.BBought
10 Nov 2022CMGBought
15 Aug 2022GOOGLBought
15 Aug 2022COPBought
15 Aug 2022AMZNBought
11 Jul 2022GSBought
11 Jul 2022CRMBought
11 Jul 2022AZOBought
24 Mar 2022TGTBought
24 Mar 2022JNJBought
3 Feb 2022MSBought
17 Nov 2021ULTABought
17 Nov 2021KLACBought
17 Nov 2021CATBought
3 Sept 2021SHWBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
6 Aug 2024ULTASold
6 Aug 2024FISVSold
6 Aug 2024CSold
6 Aug 2024BACSold
18 Dec 2023ZTSSold
18 Dec 2023VLOSold
18 Dec 2023VSold
18 Dec 2023UNPSold
18 Dec 2023UNHSold
18 Dec 2023TXNSold
18 Dec 2023TMUSSold
18 Dec 2023TMOSold
18 Dec 2023STZSold
18 Dec 2023SPGISold
18 Dec 2023SHWSold
18 Dec 2023SBUXSold
18 Dec 2023RTXSold
18 Dec 2023PGSold
18 Dec 2023PEPSold
18 Dec 2023PANWSold
18 Dec 2023NVDASold
18 Dec 2023NKESold
18 Dec 2023MSFTSold
18 Dec 2023METASold
18 Dec 2023MASold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest