undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Kathy Castor

Backtest from 6 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+11.9%
S&P 500 +13.8%
Last 12 months
+16.3%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.55
S&P 500 0.73
Biggest drop
−36.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201520172019202120232025 $45.9k$37.6k
Kathy CastorS&P 500 $10,000 in Kathy Castor from 6 Jan 2015 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Kathy Castor (Democrat, FL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Kathy Castor's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+11.9%+13.8%
Total return+276%+359%
Last 12 months+16.3%+12.1%
Last 3 months+8.6%—
Last month+10.5%—
This year so far+11.5%—
Volatility a year20.3%16.5%
Sharpe ratio0.550.73
Biggest drop−36.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.881.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+0.4% (0.11)—
Share of weeks up55%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 66 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
BRK.B100.0%23 Apr 2020+199.3%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest6 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026+11.9%+13.8%0.550.73−36.3%0.88+0.4% (0.11)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+11.7%+13.9%0.500.66−36.3%0.83+0.7% (0.13)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+16.5%+21.8%0.771.16−13.8%0.36+6.0% (0.71)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+11.5%+14.2%0.580.84−8.8%0.17+6.1% (0.45)
DateCompanyAction
21 May 2020LUVBought
21 May 2020AALBought
23 Apr 2020BRK.BBought
30 Jan 2019BRK.BBought
19 May 2017TBought
7 Jun 2016DISBought
16 May 2016DOWBought
16 May 2016AIGBought
16 May 2016AABought
21 Mar 2016PFEBought
21 Mar 2016MRKBought
21 Mar 2016INTCBought
21 Mar 2016BACBought
21 Mar 2016BABought
21 Mar 2016AAPLBought
15 May 2015TBought
15 May 2015GEBought
15 May 2015BENBought
10 Feb 2015BXBought
6 Jan 2015CATBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
17 Jul 2020LUVSold
17 Jul 2020AALSold
6 Apr 2020BXSold
6 Apr 2020BRK.BSold
6 Apr 2020BENSold
6 Apr 2020BACSold
11 May 2018TSold
11 May 2018DOWSold
11 May 2018AIGSold
7 Aug 2017DISSold
21 Mar 2017AAPLSold
16 Feb 2017PFESold
16 Feb 2017MRKSold
16 Feb 2017INTCSold
16 Feb 2017BASold
12 Jan 2017TSold
12 Jan 2017GESold
12 Jan 2017CATSold
12 Jan 2017AASold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest