undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Robert C. "Bobby" Scott

Backtest from 24 Oct 2016 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+14.6%
S&P 500 +15.2%
Last 12 months
+13.3%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.71
S&P 500 0.76
Biggest drop
−35.6%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $41.2k$39.0k
Robert C. "Bobby" ScottS&P 500 $10,000 in Robert C. "Bobby" Scott from 24 Oct 2016 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Robert C. "Bobby" Scott (Democrat, VA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Robert C. "Bobby" Scott's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+14.6%+15.2%
Total return+290%+312%
Last 12 months+13.3%+12.1%
Last 3 months+6.4%—
Last month+10.3%—
This year so far+8.7%—
Volatility a year17.8%17.1%
Sharpe ratio0.710.76
Biggest drop−35.6%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.771.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+2.5% (0.67)—
Share of weeks up58%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 21 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
BRK.B77.9%15 Aug 2022+83.5%
RPM8.0%15 Aug 2022+23.8%
TFC7.9%15 Aug 2022+19.4%
CPB6.3%13 Aug 2019−32.1%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest24 Oct 2016 to 2 Nov 2026+14.6%+15.2%0.710.76−35.6%0.77+2.5% (0.67)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+12.1%+13.9%0.560.66−35.6%0.77+1.2% (0.29)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+14.2%+21.8%0.681.16−12.1%0.42+2.9% (0.38)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+9.5%+14.2%0.450.84−10.2%0.22+3.7% (0.29)
DateCompanyAction
15 Aug 2022TFCBought
15 Aug 2022RPMBought
15 Aug 2022BRK.BBought
13 Aug 2019YUMCBought
13 Aug 2019YUMBought
13 Aug 2019SHWBought
13 Aug 2019PPLBought
13 Aug 2019PGBought
13 Aug 2019PFEBought
13 Aug 2019MRKBought
13 Aug 2019INTCBought
13 Aug 2019CVXBought
13 Aug 2019CPBBought
13 Aug 2019CLBought
13 Aug 2019AEPBought
24 Oct 2016SYYBought
24 Oct 2016PAYXBought
24 Oct 2016JPMBought
24 Oct 2016IFFBought
24 Oct 2016ADPBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
15 Aug 2022PPLSold
15 Aug 2022MRKSold
15 Aug 2022CVXSold
15 Aug 2022AEPSold
11 Jan 2022SHWSold
11 Jan 2022PFESold
11 Jan 2022JPMSold
11 Jan 2022INTCSold
11 Jan 2022IFFSold
9 Sept 2021CLSold
26 Jun 2020YUMCSold
26 Jun 2020YUMSold
26 Jun 2020SYYSold
26 Jun 2020PGSold
26 Jun 2020PAYXSold
2 Aug 2017ADPSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest