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L3Harris valuation and forecast

Explore the models for L3Harris, adjust their assumptions and compare your own valuation with the platform's.

Your valuation workspace

What is LHX worth to you?

Start with the company's financial data. Make the assumptions your own.

7 models available

01 / Assumptions

Follow the forecast

The cash flows behind your value

USD per share
View annual figures
Forecast yearCash flow / share

Negative cash flows are shown in terracotta. Before the terminal value and equity bridge. Residual-income models show excess earnings; dividend models show dividends.

See the range of possibilities

Compare and combine your models

Your weighted value—

Weights start with the platform's included models. Change them to build your own combination. Select a model name to edit its assumptions.

ModelYour value / shareWeight

The platform's price and consistency filters are not reapplied to your scenarios.

Other model types 15 unavailable for LHX

Revenue-to-maturity DCF

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Growth DCF

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

P/B vs return on equity

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-book

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer P/E

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-FFO

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Peer price-to-sales

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Forward peer price-to-sales

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Two-stage dividend discount

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Growing-dividend model

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

REIT funds from operations

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Utility earnings

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Book value / net assets

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Reported crypto treasury NAV

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Proved-reserve NAV

This model does not apply to this company with the available financial data.

Model values are estimates under the assumptions shown. They are not share-price forecasts or investment advice.

Valuation models compared

Cash-flow modelgrowth 2.5–12.5%, 8.5% discount
~$250~$180–$350
Forward price-to-earnings vs peersNext year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings.
~$320~$260–$460
Residual incomeBook value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years.
~$99~$72–$140
Justified price-to-bookBook value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns.
~$92~$79–$110
Models combinedweighted average of 4 models; primary model counts double
~$200~$92–$320

range across growth cases central value market price $276.65

Different models answer different questions: the cash-flow models ask what the business generates for owners; the peer multiples ask what similar companies in our coverage trade on. Where they disagree, the gap is the story. Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. How each model works.

Analyst recommendations

20 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy1260%
Hold840%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202611820
  2. Sep 202611820
  3. Aug 202611618
  4. Jul 202612518

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering L3Harris, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Price history

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

Five-year projection

  • Share price
  • Higher growth
  • Base case
  • Lower growth
$200 $300 $400 Nov 2024 Today 20272028202920302031 ~$410 ~$280 ~$190

Today: lower growth ~$180 · base case ~$250 · higher growth ~$350 · share price $276.62

Where our model's value per share would be at each point if that growth case plays out — not a forecast of the share price, which can stay above or below value for long periods. How projections are calculated.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice.

How our value has changed

Our value per share (re-run on each quarter's filings) Share price, month end
$200 $300 20222023202420252026
View the data
PeriodOur value per share
FY2021 Q4 (backtest)$287
FY2022 Q1 (backtest)$227
FY2022 Q2 (backtest)$205
FY2022 Q3 (backtest)$189
FY2022 Q4 (backtest)$150
FY2023 Q1 (backtest)$129
FY2023 Q2 (backtest)$135
FY2023 Q3 (backtest)$133
FY2023 Q4 (backtest)$177
FY2024 Q1 (backtest)$164
FY2024 Q2 (backtest)$174
FY2024 Q3 (backtest)$185
FY2024 Q4 (backtest)$182
FY2025 Q1 (backtest)$152
FY2025 Q2 (backtest)$139
FY2025 Q3 (backtest)$137
FY2025 Q4 (backtest)$179
FY2026 Q1 (backtest)$182
FY2026 Q2 (backtest)$217
FY2026 Q3 (backtest)$260

Our model re-run on each past quarter's filed figures: how the method would have valued L3Harris at the time (a backtest — our dated public record starts at launch). The grey line is the share price at month end, for comparison.

Five-year model value, by case

Year Lower growth Base case Higher growth
Latest filing ~$180 ~$250 ~$350
2027 ~$180 ~$260 ~$360
2028 ~$180 ~$270 ~$380
2029 ~$180 ~$270 ~$390
2030 ~$180 ~$280 ~$400
2031 ~$190 ~$280 ~$410

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. How projections are calculated.

The assumptions

Free cash flow (TTM, FY2026 Q3)
$3.6B
Less stock-based pay
$78M
Cash flow we value
$2.5B
Growth, years 1–5 (base)
7.5%
Then fading to
2.5%
Discount rate
8.5%
Net cash added
-$8B
Diluted shares
186M

What would move the value

Growth 5 points lower
−28%
Growth 5 points higher
+36%
Free-cash-flow margin 1 point lower
−7%
Discount rate 1 point higher
−16%

Change in our model value when one input moves, all else equal.

LHX valuation questions

What is L3Harris worth per share?
Our discounted-cash-flow model of L3Harris's free cash flow after stock-based pay puts its value at ~$250 per share in the base case, with a range of ~$180–$350 across lower- and higher-growth cases. Model values under stated assumptions, not a price target or recommendation.
What could L3Harris be worth by 2031?
If our base case plays out, the model's value per share would be about ~$280 by 2031 (~$190–$410 across our lower- and higher-growth cases). This is where the model's value would be, not a forecast of the share price, which can stay above or below value for long periods.
How does Fundamentalytics value L3Harris?
We value L3Harris's normalised cash flow after stock-based pay using a ten-year discounted-cash-flow model. Near-term growth can incorporate forecasts and guidance; growth then fades to the long-run rate. The equity bridge adds cash and subtracts debt and other claims. The calculator shows the company data and assumptions you can adjust.

Data: SEC EDGAR filings, retrieved October 30, 2026. Method: how we value companies. Disclosures: research and recommendations disclosure. Back to L3Harris.

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