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Timken Co (TKR) stock

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NYSE: TKR NYSE Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components Next results ~November 4, 2026

C Fundamentals grade

Timken Co is a US-listed company in the industrial machinery & supplies & components industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Fair value per share

~$75

Cash-flow model

Base case. Range ~$49–$110 across our lower- and higher-growth cases (-2.2%–7.8% a year).

Price vs value

Overvalued

The price is above our entire value range; our base value is 34% below it.

Price used: $113.57, November 2, 2026

Timken Co valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Insiders0 buying, 5 selling0 purchases and 12 sales by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
  • Funds336 adding, 223 cuttingOf 78 active managers that changed their stake, 36 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

Value diary

Our note on each quarter Timken files

Where Timken Co stands after its latest 10-Q

Revenue for the twelve months to June 2026 was $4.76bn, up 5.5% on a year earlier, faster than 3.3% a quarter earlier. Free-cash-flow margin rose to 8.1% from 7.0% a year earlier. Against its peers on growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet, it grades C. It passes 2 of our 6 financial-health checks. Our cash-flow model value is $56.08 a share, against a share price of $113. At that price, our model says the market is pricing in about 12.3% a year of cash-flow growth for five years, faster than the 2.9% a year revenue growth it has delivered.

Source: 10-Q filed August 4, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation

Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 4, 2026 (estimated)

Timken Co's trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 5.5% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of 8.1%.

Our discounted-cash-flow model values the business at ~$75 per share in the base case (~$49–$110 across growth scenarios) — model values under stated assumptions, not a price target.

Current signal Free cash flow diverging from earnings: TTM free cash flow grew 22.5% while net income fell 16.5%: a 39pp divergence.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Highlights

How we pick these

Strengths

  • Beating expectations. Earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.

Things to watch

  • Priced above our value. The share price of $113.57 is 34% above our value per share of $75.
  • Insiders selling. 5 insiders sold $18M of stock over the past 365 days and none bought (0% under pre-set trading plans).

Latest results: FY2026 Q2

Filed August 4, 2026
Earnings per share
$1.83 against an average estimate of $1.62: beat by 12.9%
Revenue
$1.26bn, up 7.5% on a year earlier
Share reaction
-7.4% in the first session after the results on August 4, 2026, against +1.6% for the S&P 500
Guidance given
full-year earnings per diluted share (GAAP) $3.75 to $4.05 (2026); adjusted earnings per diluted share $6.05 to $6.35 (2026)
Next report
November 4, 2026; average EPS estimate $1.48

Timken's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+2.4%
  • 1 week+2.8%
  • 1 month-7.2%
  • This year+36.2%
  • 1 year+46.6%
  • 5 years+74.2%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

Revenue (TTM)
$4.8B
Operating margin
10.5%
Net margin
5.4%
EPS (TTM, diluted)
$3.69

Growth

Revenue growth
+5.5%
Change in growth rate
+2.1 pts
Share count change
−0.4%

Cash

Free cash flow (TTM)
$386M
FCF margin
8.1%
Stock pay % of revenue
0.6%

Earnings

Last results
August 4, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Results
  2. Announcement
  3. Deal
  4. Insider trade
  5. Dividend
  6. Results
  7. Guidance
  8. Announcement
  9. Leadership
  10. Results
  11. Agreement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Valuation

Timken Co valuation models and calculator

What the price is pricing in

The share price implies about 8.6% a year of cash-flow growth for five years.That is faster than the 2.9% a year revenue growth Timken has delivered.

  • Priced in8.6%
  • Last 12 months5.5%
  • 3 years a year0.0%
  • 5 years a year2.9%

Our cash-flow model with every input fixed except growth over the next five years, solved for the growth at which the model value equals the share price ($114.99, Nov 3, 2026). Cash-flow growth then fades to 2.5% a year; discount rate 8.5%. Delivered figures are revenue growth from SEC filings. This is a model exercise, not investment advice or a forecast of the share price. All companies

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03
Sell12-month view
12-month price target
~$75
Price used
$114.99close November 3, 2026
Implied change
▼ 35%
Uncertainty
Medium

How we got here: a discounted-cash-flow model of Timken Co's free cash flow after stock-based pay with after-tax interest added back ($414M, FY2026 Q2 TTM), growing 3.2% and 2.9% in the next two years (forecasts, guidance and its record), then back to 2.8% by year five, and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5%. Lower and higher growth cases span ~$49–~$110 ; that spread sets a 25% margin before we rate Buy or Sell.

Produced by Fundamentalytics' automated valuation model on November 3, 2026, using delayed market prices. Rating meanings, methodology and conflicts: recommendations disclosure and research disclaimer. General research, not personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances. Prices can fall as well as rise.

Our value per share comes from a discounted-cash-flow model of Timken Co's free cash flow after stock-based pay ( $414M, FY2026 Q2 TTM, with after-tax interest added back): growth for five years as below (the first two years from forecasts, guidance and the company's record), fading to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5%, then cash added and debt and other claims subtracted. These are model values under stated assumptions, not price targets or recommendations.

Valuation models

We value Timken Co as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 9.7%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.06 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Cash-flow model (DCF) Free cash flow to the firm (after stock pay, with after-tax interest added back), grown then faded to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5% as the firm rate, less debt and other claims. ~$75 ~$49–$110 Primary model, counts double
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$130 ~$110–$170 Included
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. ~$67 ~$49–$94 Included
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. ~$70 ~$61–$82 Included
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (cash-flow model (dcf)) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$83 ~$67–$130 4 models

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Timken Co with Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

What moves the value

  • Revenue growth 5 points lower ▼ −32%
  • Revenue growth 5 points higher ▲ +41%
  • Free-cash-flow margin 1 point lower ▼ −13%
  • Last year's free-cash-flow margin change, if it persists ▲ +17%
  • Discount rate 1 point higher ▼ −19%
Value per share under different assumptions
Discount rate ↓ / growth → −5% growth0% growth5% growth10% growth15% growth20% growth
7% $57$88$128$181$251$341
8.5% $37$59$88$127$176$240
10% $25$42$65$94$131$180

Valuation multiples over time Market data may be delayed

At fiscal year end 2016201720182019202020212022202320242025Now
Share price$32.86$41.65$32.41$50.14$70.37$64.01$66.52$76.73$69.46$83.36$113.57
Market value$2.6bn$3.3bn$2.5bn$3.9bn$5.4bn$4.9bn$4.9bn$5.5bn$4.9bn$5.9bn$8.0bn
+ Net debt (− = net cash)$510m$841m−$133m$1.5bn$1.2bn$1.2bn$1.6bn$2.0bn$1.7bn$1.6bn$1.7bn
Enterprise value$3.1bn$4.1bn$2.4bn$5.4bn$6.6bn$6.1bn$6.6bn$7.5bn$6.6bn$7.4bn$9.6bn
Multiples
Price / sales 1.0x1.1x0.7x1.0x1.5x1.2x1.1x1.2x1.1x1.3x1.7x
Price / earnings 18.5x16.2x8.4x10.6x18.9x13.4x12.1x14.0x13.9x20.3x30.8x
Price / free cash flow 9.8x24.9x11.5x9.4x11.8x20.6x17.3x15.5x16.1x14.4x20.7x
EV / EBITDA 8.3x9.4x4.0x7.9x10.6x9.0x8.5x8.7x7.9x9.6x13.1x

Market value uses the period's diluted share count; figures for each fiscal year use that year's results and the price at year end. "Now" uses today's price and the last twelve months.

Moat

69 /100

Moderate moat

How hard Timken's competitive advantage looks for rivals to wear away, judged from 10 years of its own filings: returns on capital, pricing power, profit durability, cash conversion and discipline.

  • Returns on capital 11 / 20

    Cash operating profit has been a median 9.1% of total assets over 10 years.

  • Pricing power 11 / 20

    Gross margin has been a median 29.6%, moving by 1.4 percentage points (standard deviation) across 9 years.

  • Durability 13 / 20

    Operating margin has been a median 13.0%; its worst year was 10.5%.

  • Cash conversion 14 / 20

    Free cash flow was positive in 9 of 9 years, at a median 8.1% of revenue.

  • Discipline 20 / 20

    The diluted share count fell 8.9% over five years; stock-based pay has been a median 0.6% of revenue.

AI disruption exposure: Low. In this industry, the business rests on physical assets, regulated networks or products AI itself depends on.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 4, 2026, before the open. Analysts expect revenue of $1.2bn and EPS of $1.48 (range $1.41 to $1.55) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $6.27 +18% $4.8bn +6%
Next $7.28 +16% $5.0bn +3%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved +0.6% in 90 days, across 12 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +1.8% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 0 analysts raised Timken Co's forecast and 2 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Timken Co, last 90 days
$6.00 $6.50 $7.00 $7.50 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $6.16 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $6.27 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $6.27 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $6.27 Current fiscal year, Now: $6.27 $6.27 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $7.23 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $7.28 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $7.28 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $7.28 Next fiscal year, Now: $7.28 $7.28

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $6.16$7.23
60 days ago $6.27$7.28
30 days ago $6.27$7.28
7 days ago $6.27$7.28
Now $6.27$7.28

Earnings against estimates

Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 $1.62 $1.83 +12.9%
Mar 2026 $1.50 $1.67 +11.2%
Dec 2025 $1.09 $1.14 +4.9%
Sept 2025 $1.24 $1.37 +10.1%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Management guidance

Earnings release, August 4, 2026
  • 2026 revenue growth at the midpoint 2026 about 5.5% growth Raised
    “The company is planning for 2026 revenue to be up approximately 5.5 percent in total at the midpoint from 2025, a slight increase from its prior outlook of 5 percent growth at the midpoint.” source
  • full-year earnings per diluted share (GAAP) 2026 $3.75 to $4.05 GAAP
    “Timken is updating its 2026 outlook, with full-year earnings per diluted share now forecasted to be in the range of $3.75 to $4.05 and is raising its adjusted earnings per diluted share to the range of $6.05 to $6.35.” source
  • adjusted earnings per diluted share 2026 $6.05 to $6.35 Non-GAAP Raised
    “Timken is updating its 2026 outlook, with full-year earnings per diluted share now forecasted to be in the range of $3.75 to $4.05 and is raising its adjusted earnings per diluted share to the range of $6.05 to $6.35.” source

Figures and quotations are management's, copied from the company's own press release (SEC 8-K exhibit) and checked word for word against it. Forward-looking statements are the company's expectations, not ours and not advice; guidance can change or be missed.

How our valuation uses these forecasts

Our cash-flow model grows Timken Co's revenue by +3.2% next year and +2.9% the year after, then fades back toward its own record by year five. Next year's rate weighs analysts' consensus (+3.4%, weight 55%) , management guidance (+3.1%, weight 19%) and the company's own record (+2.8%, weight 26%) . How the weights are set.

Analyst recommendations

12 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy758%
Hold542%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202625512
  2. Sep 202625512
  3. Aug 202624612
  4. Jul 202624612

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Timken Co, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
7.2%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
5.23
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+13%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
97%
of shares
Held by insiders
7.9%
of shares
Employees
19,000
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Recent prices are available. Older price history and the statistics that need it are being loaded in the background.

What moved the share price

Last 12 months +46.6%

$77.45 on October 31, 2025 to $113.57

ThenNowEffect
Revenue (last 12 months) $4.5bn $4.8bn +5.5%
Net margin 6.9% 5.4% −20.8%
P/E multiple 17.6x 30.8x +74.8%
Share count 70m 70m +0.4%

Biggest factor: p/e multiple.

Last 3 years +63.9%

$69.28 on November 3, 2023 to $113.57

ThenNowEffect
Revenue (last 12 months) $4.8bn $4.8bn +0.1%
Net margin 9.1% 5.4% −40.2%
P/E multiple 11.8x 30.8x +161.6%
Share count 73m 70m +4.6%

Biggest factor: p/e multiple.

The effects multiply back to the price change exactly. Results are the last 12 months as known on each date (filings assumed public 45 days after quarter end).

Return and risk by year

Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
TKR−9%+4%+15%−10%+20%+36%
Industry peers (median)+19%−15%+21%+2%+9%+3%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
TKR50%33%50%42%75%55%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
TKR−29%−30%−27%−23%−31%−25%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since October 29, 2015: 58% from January 9, 2020 to March 18, 2020. Getting back needed a 140% gain, reached on September 15, 2020, 181 days after the low.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$73.33 – $144.93
From 52-week high
−21.6%
vs 50-day average
−2.9%
vs 200-day average
−2.9%
Volatility (1 year)
34%
Beta vs S&P 500
1.39

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
6 up, 6 down
typical move ±3.9%
After a week
7 up, 5 down
typical move ±5.9%
After a month
6 up, 6 down
typical move ±6.3%
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
August 4, 2026 −7.4% +1.6% −9.3% −15.0%
May 6, 2026 +6.1% +1.1% +5.6% +20.6%
February 4, 2026 +6.3% −1.7% +13.2% +4.0%
October 29, 2025 +1.9% −1.1% +1.6% +5.9%
July 30, 2025 −6.0% −0.5% −9.2% −3.0%
April 30, 2025 −1.4% +0.7% +1.3% +5.4%
February 5, 2025 +3.0% +0.8% +4.0% −1.9%
November 5, 2024 −5.0% +3.7% −10.5% −8.3%
July 31, 2024 −1.2% +0.2% −6.5% −1.7%
April 30, 2024 +0.9% −1.9% +3.8% +0.1%
February 5, 2024 −5.6% −0.1% −2.7% −0.7%
November 1, 2023 +2.6% +3.0% +2.5% +8.5%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Options strategies

All options ideas

How Timken Co’s listed options are priced, and three ways to use them that follow from our valuation. Quotes are delayed, read November 2, 2026. Check the live chain at your broker before trading.

Cash-secured put

Not offered: rated Sell.

We suggest selling a put only on well-rated companies, at a strike where the price you would pay if assigned (strike less premium) is at or below our fair value.

Covered call

Not offered: no liquid call at or above our price target — the model says the upside is worth more than any listed strike.

For holders: sell a call at a strike at or above our fair value, so the shares are only sold at a price the model calls full value.

Collar

Not offered: no liquid put and call pair for the same expiry.

For holders of a stock trading at or above our fair value: buy a put for a floor and sell a call to pay for it.

General research, not personal advice. Options can lose you more than you expect and are not suitable for everyone: put sellers can be made to buy shares that keep falling, call sellers give up gains above the strike, and results or news can move prices sharply. Chances shown are approximations from each option’s delta. Spreads, fees and early assignment are not modelled.

Timken Co in five measures

Fundamentals grade C
Growth Profitability Cash Balance sheet Value

Growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet are percentiles against the companies we cover in the same industry, from SEC filings (100 = best). Value compares the share price with our modelled value range (50 = at our base value; higher = cheaper). A description of reported data and our model — not a quality score or advice.

Fundamentals

Revenue (TTM) Timken Co
$4.5B $4.6B $4.7B $4.8B FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Revenue (TTM), FY23 Q3: $4.8B Revenue (TTM), FY23 Q4: $4.8B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q1: $4.7B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q2: $4.6B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q3: $4.6B Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q4: $4.6B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q1: $4.5B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q2: $4.5B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q3: $4.5B Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q4: $4.6B Revenue (TTM), FY26 Q1: $4.7B Revenue (TTM), FY26 Q2: $4.8B $4.8B

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 20, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue (TTM)
FY23 Q3 $4.8B
FY23 Q4 $4.8B
FY24 Q1 $4.7B
FY24 Q2 $4.6B
FY24 Q3 $4.6B
FY24 Q4 $4.6B
FY25 Q1 $4.5B
FY25 Q2 $4.5B
FY25 Q3 $4.5B
FY25 Q4 $4.6B
FY26 Q1 $4.7B
FY26 Q2 $4.8B
Revenue growth, TTM YoY Timken Co
-5% 0% 5% 10% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY23 Q3: 7.6% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY23 Q4: 6.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q1: 1.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q2: -3.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q3: -3.6% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q4: -4.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q1: -3.7% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q2: -2.0% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q3: -1.0% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q4: 0.2% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY26 Q1: 3.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY26 Q2: 5.5% 5.5%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 20, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue growth, TTM YoY
FY23 Q3 7.6%
FY23 Q4 6.1%
FY24 Q1 1.3%
FY24 Q2 -3.1%
FY24 Q3 -3.6%
FY24 Q4 -4.1%
FY25 Q1 -3.7%
FY25 Q2 -2.0%
FY25 Q3 -1.0%
FY25 Q4 0.2%
FY26 Q1 3.3%
FY26 Q2 5.5%
Operating margin (TTM) Timken Co
10% 11% 12% 13% 14% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 Operating margin (TTM), FY23 Q3: 14.0% Operating margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: 13.8% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q1: 13.9% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q2: 13.5% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q3: 13.4% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: 13.4% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q1: 12.6% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q2: 12.2% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q3: 12.0% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: 11.8% Operating margin (TTM), FY26 Q1: 12.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY26 Q2: 10.5% 10.5%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 20, 2026.

View chart data
Period Operating margin (TTM)
FY23 Q3 14.0%
FY23 Q4 13.8%
FY24 Q1 13.9%
FY24 Q2 13.5%
FY24 Q3 13.4%
FY24 Q4 13.4%
FY25 Q1 12.6%
FY25 Q2 12.2%
FY25 Q3 12.0%
FY25 Q4 11.8%
FY26 Q1 12.1%
FY26 Q2 10.5%
FCF margin (TTM) Timken Co
4% 6% 8% 10% FY23 Q3 FY24 Q2 FY25 Q1 FY26 Q2 FCF margin (TTM), FY23 Q3: 9.8% FCF margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: 7.5% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q1: 6.9% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q2: 6.9% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q3: 5.6% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: 6.7% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q1: 7.2% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q2: 7.0% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q3: 8.6% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: 8.9% FCF margin (TTM), FY26 Q1: 8.2% FCF margin (TTM), FY26 Q2: 8.1% 8.1%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 20, 2026.

View chart data
Period FCF margin (TTM)
FY23 Q3 9.8%
FY23 Q4 7.5%
FY24 Q1 6.9%
FY24 Q2 6.9%
FY24 Q3 5.6%
FY24 Q4 6.7%
FY25 Q1 7.2%
FY25 Q2 7.0%
FY25 Q3 8.6%
FY25 Q4 8.9%
FY26 Q1 8.2%
FY26 Q2 8.1%

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-Q. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Where the money goes

FY2025, from the 10-K

Each dollar Timken took in during FY2025, followed through to profit: what it cost to make, what went on running the business, and what was left after tax.

  1. Revenue $4.6B
  2. Cost of revenue $3.2B · 69.6%
  3. Gross profit $1.4B · 30.4%
  4. Selling, general and admin $748M · 16.3%
  5. Other operating costs $104M · 2.3%
  6. Operating income $541M · 11.8%
  7. Income tax $98.7M · 2.2%
  8. Interest and other $154M · 3.4%
  9. Net income $288M · 6.3%

Shares of revenue. Source: Timken's 10-K for FY2025, as filed with the SEC. "Other" lines are what the reported lines leave unexplained.

Financial statements

US$ millions unless shown otherwise. Fiscal years, plus the last twelve months (LTM) when newer.

Fiscal year 2011 Dec 2011 2012 Dec 2012 2013 Dec 2013 2016 Dec 2016 2017 Dec 2017 2018 Dec 2018 2019 Dec 2019 2020 Dec 2020 2021 Dec 2021 2022 Dec 2022 2023 Dec 2023 2024 Dec 2024 2025 Dec 2025 LTM Jun 2026
Income
Revenue 124 107 80 2,670 3,004 3,581 3,790 3,513 4,133 4,497 4,769 4,573 4,582 4,760
Gross profit 1,370 1,028 868 706 812 1,040 1,142 1,010 1,103 1,288 1,509 1,441 1,393 1,468
EBITDA 922 594 448 376 437 601 677 622 681 771 858 833 771 739
Operating income 729 444 306 244 300 455 516 455 513 607 657 611 541 502
Net income 454 496 263 141 203 303 362 285 369 407 394 353 288 259
Diluted EPS $4.59 $5.07 $2.74 $1.78 $2.58 $3.86 $4.71 $3.72 $4.79 $5.48 $5.47 $4.99 $4.11 $3.69
Growth (year on year)
Revenue — −13.7% −25.4% +>999% +12.5% +19.2% +5.8% −7.3% +17.6% +8.8% +6.1% −4.1% +0.2% +5.5%
EBITDA — −35.6% −24.5% −16.1% +16.2% +37.4% +12.7% −8.1% +9.5% +13.2% +11.4% −3.0% −7.5% −4.8%
Operating income — −39.1% −31.1% −20.1% +22.5% +51.8% +13.6% −11.9% +12.8% +18.3% +8.3% −7.0% −11.5% −8.9%
Net income — +9.1% −47.0% −46.4% +44.5% +48.9% +19.6% −21.4% +29.7% +10.4% −3.3% −10.5% −18.2% −16.5%
Diluted EPS — +10.5% −46.0% −35.0% +44.9% +49.6% +22.0% −21.0% +28.8% +14.4% −0.2% −8.8% −17.6% −16.1%
Margins
Gross margin — — — 26.5% 27.0% 29.0% 30.1% 28.7% 26.7% 28.6% 31.6% 31.5% 30.4% 30.8%
EBITDA margin 740.8% 552.7% 559.7% 14.1% 14.6% 16.8% 17.9% 17.7% 16.5% 17.1% 18.0% 18.2% 16.8% 15.5%
Operating margin 586.1% 413.4% 381.9% 9.2% 10.0% 12.7% 13.6% 12.9% 12.4% 13.5% 13.8% 13.4% 11.8% 10.5%
Net margin 365.2% 461.4% 328.0% 5.3% 6.8% 8.5% 9.6% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 7.7% 6.3% 5.4%
Free-cash-flow margin 3.3% 470.9% 370.0% 10.0% 4.4% 6.1% 10.8% 13.0% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.9% 8.1%
Cash flow
Cash from operations 209 624 430 404 237 333 550 578 387 464 545 476 554 531
Capital spending 205 118 134 138 105 113 141 122 148 178 188 170 148 145
Free cash flow 4 506 296 266 132 220 410 456 239 285 357 306 406 386
Stock-based pay 17 16 16 14 25 32 27 23 20 30 31 26 28 28
Free cash flow after stock pay −13 490 280 252 107 188 382 433 219 255 327 280 378 357
Balance sheet
Cash 465 586 385 149 122 133 210 320 257 332 419 373 364 399
Total debt 515 479 446 659 962 — 1,730 1,565 1,465 1,963 2,396 2,063 1,922 2,076
Net debt (negative = net cash) 50 −107 61 510 841 −133 1,521 1,244 1,208 1,632 1,977 1,690 1,558 1,677
Diluted shares 99m 98m 96m 79m 79m 78m 77m 76m 77m 74m 72m 71m 70m 70m
Returned to shareholders
Dividends 76 89 88 82 83 86 85 87 92 92 94 96 98 99
Buybacks 44 112 189 101 43 99 63 49 93 212 251 41 57 60
Total returned 120 201 277 183 127 184 148 136 185 303 345 137 156 159

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (US and foreign periodic filings); column headings link to the filing. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Growth is left blank when last year's figure was a loss or under 2% of revenue. Share counts and EPS are restated for stock splits. A dash means the company didn't report the figure.

Financial health

2 of 6 checks passed · June 30, 2026
What it owns · $6.8bn
Short-term assets $2.8bnLonger-term assets $4.0bn
What it owes, and who funded it · $4.1bn
Short-term liabilities $918mShareholders' equity $3.2bn
  • Short-term assets cover short-term liabilities $2.8bn of assets due within a year against $918m of liabilities due within a year.
  • Short-term assets cover long-term liabilities Not assessable from the reported split. Not assessable.
  • More cash than debt $399m of cash against $2.1bn of debt.
  • Debt below 40% of shareholders' equity Debt is 65% of equity.
  • Debt burden no higher than five years ago Debt to equity moved from 61% to 65% over five years.
  • A year's operating cash flow covers at least 20% of debt $531m of operating cash flow against $2.1bn of debt.
  • Operating profit covers interest at least five times over Operating income of $502m against $104m of interest.

From Timken Co's latest balance sheet as filed. Checks are fixed, documented rules (methodology), counted only where the company reports the figures — a dot means the filing doesn't break the item out. Descriptions of reported data, not advice.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

FY2026 Q2 TTM
Buybacks (TTM)
$59.7M
Dividends (TTM)
$99.1M
Returned to shareholders
41%
of free cash flow
Buybacks, last 3 fiscal years
$349M
Diluted share count
−0.4%
year over year
Total shareholder yield
2.0%
dividends 1.2% + buybacks 0.8% of market value
Dividend payout ratio
38%
of net income paid out
Sales & admin spending
16.4%
of revenue
Days sales outstanding
63 days
receivables vs revenue

Competitors: side by side with peers

Closest by revenue in industrial machinery & supplies & components
Last 12 months unless stated TKR ITT FLS LECO MLI FTV Median
Revenue, last 12 months $4.8bn $4.7bn $4.7bn $4.6bn $5.0bn $4.4bn $1.4bn
Revenue growth, last 12 months 5.5% 28.1% 0.2% 11.1% 20.8% 7.0% 8.3%
Revenue growth, 3-year average 0.0% 14.5% 3.8% 4.5% 11.9% −9.9% 4.0%
Revenue growth, latest quarter 7.5% 51.5% 5.4% 15.1% 31.6% 7.8% 9.1%
Gross margin 30.8% 35.2% 34.2% 35.5% 27.7% 63.5% 35.2%
Operating margin 10.5% 14.4% 10.0% 17.3% 21.5% 19.6% 13.1%
Operating margin, 3-year average 12.1% 16.6% 10.0% 16.9% 21.7% 15.8% 13.7%
Net margin 5.4% 8.9% 5.4% 12.4% 17.3% 14.8% 8.9%
Cash from operations / revenue 11.2% 13.4% 4.9% 14.4% 15.4% 27.3% 11.9%
Free-cash-flow margin 8.1% 10.8% 3.3% 11.0% 13.8% 24.7% 8.8%
Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average 7.3% 12.2% 8.1% 12.3% 15.8% 36.2% 9.8%
Stock pay / revenue 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Change in share count −0.4% 3.4% −2.8% −1.8% −1.5% −9.1% −0.0%

Median of all 76 companies we cover in industrial machinery & supplies & components. Shaded: best of the six on that line (lowest for stock pay and share-count growth). 3-year figures average the last three 12-month periods; 3-year growth is compound annual. Source: SEC filings.

Peer comparison

76 industrial machinery & supplies & components companies
Measure Company Peer median Rank
Revenue growth Growth 5.5% 8.3% 54 of 75
Change in growth rate Growth +2.1pp +1.2pp 30 of 75
Gross margin Profitability 30.8% 35.4% 46 of 70
Operating margin Profitability 10.5% 13.0% 44 of 75
Net margin Profitability 5.4% 8.9% 46 of 76
Free-cash-flow margin Cash generation 8.1% 9.1% 42 of 76
Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation 0.6% 0.8% 19 of 70
Long-term debt as % of assets Balance sheet 29.8% 23.4% 44 of 59
Change in share count Balance sheet -0.4% -0.0% 30 of 73
Days sales outstanding Balance sheet 63 days 63 days 31 of 65

Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).

Where the revenue comes from

Fiscal year to December 31, 2025
Segments
Line of business Revenue Share YoY
Engineered Bearings $3B 65.9% ▼ 0.5%
Industrial Motion $1.6B 34.1% ▲ 1.6%
Geography
Region Revenue Share YoY
United States $2.1B 45.3% 0.0%
EMEA $1.1B 24.6% ▲ 0.7%
Asia Pacific $918M 20.0% ▲ 3.1%
Canada Mexico and South America $461M 10.1% ▼ 5.1%

From Timken Co's 10-K filed February 13, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.

Who owns it

Funds buying and selling
Reported value
$9.5B
Institutions reporting
602
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 5.3%
Positions opened / closed
125 / 57

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 336 institutions bought and 223 sold ; the biggest buyer was Jpmorgan Chase & Co (+1.3M shares) and the biggest seller American Century Companies Inc (−1.2M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Blackrock, Inc. $870M 6.0M 9.1% ▲ 3.3%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC $484M 3.3M 5.1% ▲ 1.5%
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP $447M 3.1M 4.7% ▲ 6.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $412M 2.8M 4.3% ▲ 0.3%
State Street Corp $296M 2.0M 3.1% ▲ 3.2%
FMR LLC $289M 2.0M 3.0% ▲ 3.5%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $264M 1.8M 2.8% ▲ 51.9%
Brown Advisory Inc $248M 1.7M 2.6% ▼ 0.6%
Jpmorgan Chase & Co $219M 1.5M 2.3% ▲ 587.3%
Victory Capital Management Inc $196M 1.3M 2.1% ▼ 26.3%
Earnest Partners LLC $165M 1.1M 1.7% ▼ 2.9%
Morgan Stanley $152M 1.0M 1.6% ▲ 27.0%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Timken Co's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 2 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $18.1M 12 trades by 5 insiders · 0% under pre-set plans
Net ▼ $18.1M net selling
Insider Date Trade Shares Price Value
Kyle Richard G Director August 10, 2026 Sell 13,637 $126.63 $1.7M
Rajendra Ajita G Director June 5, 2026 Sell 8,450 $131.34 $1.1M
Kyle Richard G Director May 27, 2026 Sell 8,448 $127.35 $1.1M
Timken John M Jr Director May 8, 2026 Sell 15,000 $116.51 $1.7M
Kyle Richard G Director May 8, 2026 Sell 37,181 $117.34 $4.4M
Discenza Michael Anthony EVP, Chief Financial Officer February 24, 2026 Sell 1,532 $109.59 $167,892
Kyle Richard G Director February 20, 2026 Sell 5,264 $107.35 $565,090
Kyle Richard G Director February 20, 2026 Sell 14,372 $108.22 $1.6M
Kyle Richard G Director February 19, 2026 Sell 10,000 $106.72 $1.1M
Patel Hansal N. EVP, GC and Secretary February 9, 2026 Sell 2,500 $108.01 $270,025
Kyle Richard G Director February 6, 2026 Sell 30,206 $106.52 $3.2M
Kyle Richard G Director November 25, 2025 Sell 15,837 $81.03 $1.3M

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 2 trades and filings

No trades in Timken Co disclosed in the last 12 months; 2 earlier trades on record.

  • Lisa C. McClain(R-MI 9):Sale (full), $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 17, 2025, filed August 13, 2025
  • Lisa C. McClain(R-MI 9):Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 11, 2025, filed August 13, 2025

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Next expected around October 28, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced

  • August 4, 2026
  • May 6, 2026
  • February 4, 2026
  • October 29, 2025
  • July 30, 2025
  • April 30, 2025

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Timken Co was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
Financial statementsSEC 10-K and 10-Q filings
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Timken Co in brief

What does Timken Co do?
Timken Co is a US-listed company in the industrial machinery & supplies & components industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Timken Co's stock ticker?
Timken Co trades under the ticker TKR on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
What is Timken Co's revenue, and how fast is it growing?
Over its most recent trailing twelve months, Timken Co reported revenue of $4.8B, 5.5% higher than a year earlier, according to its SEC filings.
What is Timken Co's free cash flow?
Timken Co's free-cash-flow margin is 8.1% of revenue over the trailing twelve months, ranking 42 of the 76 industrial machinery & supplies & components companies we cover.
What is Timken Co's fair value (intrinsic value) per share?
Our discounted-cash-flow model of Timken Co's free cash flow after stock-based pay gives ~$75 per share in the base case, and ~$49–$110 across growth scenarios. These are model values under stated assumptions — not a price target or a recommendation.
Who are Timken Co's largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Is Timken Co buying back stock, and does it pay a dividend?
Timken Co spent $59.7M on share repurchases over the trailing twelve months, and its diluted share count fell 0.4% over the year.
What is Timken Co's market cap?
On November 2, 2026, Timken Co's market capitalisation was about $8B, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.8 and net debt of $1.7B. Market figures come from third-party market data and may be delayed.
Does Timken Co pay a dividend?
Yes: Timken Co paid $99.1M in dividends over the trailing twelve months, a dividend yield of 1.24% and a payout ratio of 38.3%.
How much debt does Timken Co have?
Timken Co's debt-to-equity ratio is 65.0%, from its latest balance sheet (61.5% five years earlier). The financial health section below sets out its other solvency checks.
Who are Timken Co's competitors?
In our Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components peer group, the companies closest to Timken Co are ITT Inc., Flowserve Corp, Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc, Mueller Industries Inc and Fortive. The side-by-side comparison below sets their revenue, margins and growth against Timken Co's.
Are insiders buying or selling Timken Co stock?
Over the last 12 months, Timken Co's directors and officers reported 0 open-market purchases and 12 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.
When is Timken Co's next earnings date?
Around November 4, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Timken Co announces its own schedule.