undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Lois Frankel

Backtest from 21 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+11.3%
S&P 500 +13.7%
Last 12 months
+2.1%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.54
S&P 500 0.72
Biggest drop
−36.8%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201520172019202120232025 $45.2k$35.4k
Lois FrankelS&P 500 $10,000 in Lois Frankel from 21 Jan 2015 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Lois Frankel (Democrat, FL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Lois Frankel's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+11.3%+13.7%
Total return+254%+352%
Last 12 months+2.1%+12.1%
Last 3 months+10.2%—
Last month+2.6%—
This year so far+5.1%—
Volatility a year19.0%16.5%
Sharpe ratio0.540.72
Biggest drop−36.8%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.011.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−1.7% (−0.63)—
Share of weeks up55%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 1,101 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
MSFT71.1%11 May 2016+1056.3%
PRU13.4%10 Aug 2017+72.8%
IBM10.8%10 Aug 2017+176.3%
XOM4.6%28 Jun 2022+127.6%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest21 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026+11.3%+13.7%0.540.72−36.8%1.01−1.7% (−0.63)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+10.2%+13.9%0.440.66−36.8%1.01−2.8% (−0.81)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+13.5%+21.8%0.491.16−25.3%1.00−5.8% (−0.63)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+5.0%+14.2%0.170.84−24.4%1.29−8.2% (−0.34)
DateCompanyAction
11 Oct 2023PCARBought
28 Aug 2023KVUEBought
31 Jul 2023NSCBought
31 Jul 2023BIOBought
26 Jun 2023ESBought
7 Jun 2023WSOBought
7 Jun 2023FAFBought
22 May 2023WRBBought
22 May 2023PNCBought
22 May 2023CRLBought
4 Apr 2023CBought
14 Mar 2023TELBought
14 Mar 2023LAMRBought
14 Mar 2023IFFBought
14 Mar 2023ADSKBought
21 Nov 2022PLDBought
25 Oct 2022HALBought
21 Sept 2022KLACBought
1 Sept 2022TGTBought
1 Sept 2022LKQBought
1 Sept 2022AREBought
28 Jun 2022XOMBought
28 Jun 2022ETNBought
10 Jun 2022VNTBought
10 Jun 2022GDBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
12 Aug 2024PPGSold
12 Aug 2024PCARSold
12 Aug 2024JCISold
12 Aug 2024EPAMSold
11 Oct 2023XELSold
11 Oct 2023WSOSold
11 Oct 2023WRBSold
11 Oct 2023WATSold
11 Oct 2023VNTSold
11 Oct 2023UNPSold
11 Oct 2023ULTASold
11 Oct 2023TXNSold
11 Oct 2023TTSold
11 Oct 2023TMOSold
11 Oct 2023TGTSold
11 Oct 2023TELSold
11 Oct 2023SUISold
11 Oct 2023SSNCSold
11 Oct 2023SOSold
11 Oct 2023SHWSold
11 Oct 2023RGLDSold
11 Oct 2023PORSold
11 Oct 2023PNCSold
11 Oct 2023PLDSold
11 Oct 2023PGRSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest