undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Dwight Evans

Backtest from 16 May 2017 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+23.0%
S&P 500 +14.7%
Last 12 months
+47.1%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.94
S&P 500 0.72
Biggest drop
−36.6%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 20172019202120232025 $71.1k$36.5k
Dwight EvansS&P 500 $10,000 in Dwight Evans from 16 May 2017 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Dwight Evans (Democrat, PA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Dwight Evans's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+23.0%+14.7%
Total return+611%+265%
Last 12 months+47.1%+12.1%
Last 3 months+4.4%—
Last month+0.4%—
This year so far+46.0%—
Volatility a year21.5%17.4%
Sharpe ratio0.940.72
Biggest drop−36.6%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.101.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+6.6% (2.06)—
Share of weeks up58%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 130 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
TMO17.4%20 Sept 2018+189.0%
LMT7.2%12 Jul 2021+94.8%
OKE7.0%22 Aug 2022+80.3%
ABBV7.0%22 Aug 2022+138.9%
AAPL6.6%27 Sept 2018+534.2%
KMI6.6%26 Apr 2022+126.8%
WMB6.5%22 Sept 2020+359.9%
NVDA5.9%21 Apr 2025+112.1%
NEE5.8%27 Sept 2018+151.9%
MSFT5.8%27 Sept 2018+388.4%
SRE5.3%22 Nov 2022+22.4%
IBM4.7%4 Dec 2020+164.6%
PWR3.9%12 Jul 2021+590.2%
NOW3.8%18 Jan 2024−27.5%
INTC3.4%26 Apr 2022+43.6%
CVS3.1%6 Jul 2023+45.2%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest16 May 2017 to 2 Nov 2026+23.0%+14.7%0.940.72−36.6%1.10+6.6% (2.06)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+22.2%+13.9%0.890.66−36.6%1.10+6.7% (2.04)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+38.6%+21.8%1.631.16−21.6%1.05+12.8% (1.99)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+48.8%+14.2%1.900.84−10.6%1.08+26.6% (1.75)
DateCompanyAction
15 May 2026GDBought
21 Apr 2025NVDABought
21 Apr 2025AMZNBought
15 May 2024BABABought
15 May 2024AWKBought
18 Jan 2024NOWBought
18 Jan 2024MUBought
6 Jul 2023KDBought
6 Jul 2023CVSBought
22 Nov 2022SREBought
22 Aug 2022OKEBought
22 Aug 2022ABBVBought
26 Apr 2022KMIBought
26 Apr 2022INTCBought
26 Apr 2022GDBought
12 Aug 2021RTXBought
12 Aug 2021OKEBought
12 Jul 2021PWRBought
12 Jul 2021LUVBought
12 Jul 2021LMTBought
12 Jul 2021CSXBought
12 Jul 2021CEBought
4 Dec 2020PYPLBought
4 Dec 2020IBMBought
4 Dec 2020CRMBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
25 Jun 2026GDSold
15 May 2026BABASold
15 May 2026AMZNSold
21 Apr 2026MUSold
22 Dec 2025AWKSold
22 Dec 2025APOSold
31 Oct 2025KDSold
31 Oct 2025GOOGLSold
2 Jun 2025GDSold
3 Apr 2025TSLASold
3 Apr 2025AMZNSold
6 Jul 2023BIDUSold
15 May 2023PYPLSold
15 May 2023BABASold
15 May 2023AWKSold
10 Mar 2023CSXSold
10 Mar 2023CRMSold
22 Nov 2022RTXSold
22 Aug 2022LUVSold
17 May 2022OKESold
17 May 2022CGSold
26 Apr 2022TWSTSold
26 Apr 2022NEOSold
26 Apr 2022CESold
23 Dec 2021AEPSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest