undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Daniel S. Goldman

Backtest from 27 Feb 2023 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+17.4%
S&P 500 +20.6%
Last 12 months
+16.2%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.53
S&P 500 1.08
Biggest drop
−34.1%
S&P 500 −16.9%
$10.0k$20.0k 2023202420252026 $19.9k$18.0k
Daniel S. GoldmanS&P 500 $10,000 in Daniel S. Goldman from 27 Feb 2023 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Daniel S. Goldman (Democrat, NY) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Daniel S. Goldman's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+17.4%+20.6%
Total return+80%+99%
Last 12 months+16.2%+12.1%
Last 3 months−5.2%—
Last month+15.6%—
This year so far+11.7%—
Volatility a year28.7%13.9%
Sharpe ratio0.531.08
Biggest drop−34.1%−16.9%
Beta to the S&P 5001.081.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−0.8% (−0.06)—
Share of weeks up54%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 622 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
LEVI95.0%14 Aug 2023+73.1%
C1.0%14 Aug 2023+206.6%
TT1.0%14 Aug 2024+22.0%
META0.8%14 Aug 2023+101.4%
AVTR0.3%14 Aug 2024−37.7%
AMG0.3%14 Aug 2023+185.4%
ALLE0.3%14 Aug 2024+50.6%
WMT0.3%14 Aug 2023+146.1%
MS0.2%14 Aug 2023+134.4%
IR0.2%14 Aug 2024−8.9%
AIG0.2%14 Aug 2026+8.6%
BAC0.2%14 Aug 2023+75.2%
TBLA0.2%14 Aug 2026−15.3%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest27 Feb 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+17.4%+20.6%0.531.08−34.1%1.08−0.8% (−0.06)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+19.9%+21.8%0.591.16−34.1%1.05+1.3% (0.08)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+16.7%+14.2%0.490.84−22.6%0.95+8.1% (0.23)
DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2026TBLABought
14 Aug 2026AIGBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2026HSYSold
14 Aug 2024ZMSold
14 Aug 2024ZIONSold
14 Aug 2024ZBHSold
14 Aug 2024ZSold
14 Aug 2024YUMSold
14 Aug 2024YETISold
14 Aug 2024XYZSold
14 Aug 2024XYLSold
14 Aug 2024WWDSold
14 Aug 2024WUSold
14 Aug 2024WTSSold
14 Aug 2024WTSold
14 Aug 2024WSTSold
14 Aug 2024WSOSold
14 Aug 2024WSMSold
14 Aug 2024WRLDSold
14 Aug 2024WMSold
14 Aug 2024WINGSold
14 Aug 2024WHRSold
14 Aug 2024WHSold
14 Aug 2024WGOSold
14 Aug 2024WFCSold
14 Aug 2024WDFCSold
14 Aug 2024WDCSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest