undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

John H. Rutherford

Backtest from 16 May 2017 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+1.4%
S&P 500 +14.7%
Last 12 months
−18.6%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.16
S&P 500 0.72
Biggest drop
−57.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$5.0k$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 20172019202120232025 $36.5k$11.4k
John H. RutherfordS&P 500 $10,000 in John H. Rutherford from 16 May 2017 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. John H. Rutherford (Republican, FL) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

John H. Rutherford's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+1.4%+14.7%
Total return+14%+265%
Last 12 months−18.6%+12.1%
Last 3 months−1.7%—
Last month+19.2%—
This year so far−20.0%—
Volatility a year39.2%17.4%
Sharpe ratio0.160.72
Biggest drop−57.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.191.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−8.6% (−0.79)—
Share of weeks up54%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 196 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
NCLH97.5%30 Jul 2020+27.7%
OPK2.5%16 May 2017−74.5%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest16 May 2017 to 2 Nov 2026+1.4%+14.7%0.160.72−57.3%1.19−8.6% (−0.79)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+4.8%+13.9%0.240.66−48.3%1.19−4.6% (−0.41)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+7.3%+21.8%0.291.16−48.3%1.42−9.2% (−0.37)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026−4.6%+14.2%0.060.84−42.1%1.02−7.0% (−0.15)
DateCompanyAction
17 Mar 2022UGIBought
17 Mar 2022RTXBought
17 Mar 2022MCDBought
17 Mar 2022EVRGBought
17 Mar 2022DOWBought
17 Feb 2022TMBought
17 Feb 2022STLDBought
17 Feb 2022PLDBought
17 Feb 2022PGBought
17 Feb 2022MDTBought
17 Feb 2022EMRBought
17 Feb 2022CMSBought
17 Feb 2022CBought
3 Feb 2021TSNBought
3 Feb 2021TFCBought
21 Oct 2020CMCSABought
30 Jul 2020VALEBought
30 Jul 2020NCLHBought
30 Jul 2020BMYBought
4 May 2020LVSBought
24 Jan 2020CVSBought
19 Dec 2019EMNBought
30 Sept 2019CATBought
12 Aug 2019VLOBought
5 Aug 2019VIVBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
3 Aug 2023LYBSold
3 Aug 2023IPSold
3 Aug 2023HBANSold
3 Aug 2023GILDSold
3 Aug 2023EMRSold
3 Aug 2023CSold
3 Aug 2023APDSold
26 Jul 2023VTRSold
26 Jul 2023VLOSold
26 Jul 2023VIVSold
26 Jul 2023STLDSold
26 Jul 2023SLBSold
26 Jul 2023HSBCSold
26 Jul 2023FSold
26 Jul 2023CMSSold
26 Jul 2023AMPSold
20 Apr 2022XOMSold
20 Apr 2022WMTSold
20 Apr 2022VZSold
20 Apr 2022VALESold
20 Apr 2022UGISold
20 Apr 2022TMSold
20 Apr 2022TFCSold
20 Apr 2022SOSold
20 Apr 2022RTXSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest