undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Thomas H. Kean, Jr.

Backtest from 13 Feb 2023 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+16.0%
S&P 500 +19.2%
Last 12 months
+19.9%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.60
S&P 500 0.99
Biggest drop
−24.7%
S&P 500 −16.9%
$10.0k$20.0k 2023202420252026 $19.2k$17.4k
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.S&P 500 $10,000 in Thomas H. Kean, Jr. from 13 Feb 2023 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Thomas H. Kean, Jr. (Republican, NJ) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Thomas H. Kean, Jr.'s trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+16.0%+19.2%
Total return+74%+92%
Last 12 months+19.9%+12.1%
Last 3 months+1.7%—
Last month+4.8%—
This year so far+15.6%—
Volatility a year20.0%14.0%
Sharpe ratio0.600.99
Biggest drop−24.7%−16.9%
Beta to the S&P 5000.831.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+0.7% (0.08)—
Share of weeks up59%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 139 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
UNH15.7%14 Aug 2024−27.9%
JNJ15.3%14 Aug 2024+81.0%
NUE7.8%14 Aug 2024+103.9%
CB5.8%14 Aug 2024+38.4%
MSFT3.8%14 Aug 2024+26.3%
GOOGL3.4%14 Aug 2025+40.1%
MRK2.6%14 Aug 2024+40.7%
MKL2.3%14 Aug 2024+23.7%
COP2.3%14 Aug 2024+43.3%
SYK2.2%14 Aug 2024−6.1%
AON2.2%20 Jun 2024+13.0%
AAPL2.0%14 Aug 2024+53.3%
JPM2.0%19 Sept 2023+146.0%
PSX1.9%14 Aug 2024+116.9%
VZ1.9%14 Aug 2024+27.6%
CCK1.7%19 Sept 2023+41.5%
HWM1.7%14 Aug 2024+128.0%
AMZN1.7%14 Aug 2024+46.3%
ICE1.5%14 Aug 2024+13.3%
ORCL1.5%29 Jan 2024+9.5%
J1.1%14 Aug 2025+8.9%
AMCR1.1%19 Sept 2025+25.3%
MO1.0%14 Aug 2024+76.8%
PM0.9%14 Aug 2024+93.1%
PEP0.9%14 Aug 2024−11.9%
CP0.9%23 Jan 2025+15.8%
ITW0.8%14 Aug 2024+27.7%
TMO0.8%14 Aug 2024+14.8%
QSR0.8%14 Aug 2024+14.1%
FNV0.8%14 Aug 2024+99.5%
C0.8%14 Aug 2024+119.0%
NVT0.7%21 Apr 2025+159.7%
PLD0.7%14 Aug 2024+13.3%
ADI0.7%14 Aug 2024+101.3%
QCOM0.7%14 Aug 2024+3.2%
TXN0.7%22 Dec 2025+75.4%
ABT0.6%20 Aug 2024+4.3%
ESAB0.6%16 Jul 2026−16.7%
SPGI0.6%14 Aug 2024+3.9%
LIN0.6%19 Mar 2026+7.3%
HTLD0.4%14 Aug 2024−9.9%
EQT0.4%16 Jul 2026+11.6%
T0.3%14 Aug 2024+21.5%
ILMN0.3%31 May 2024+125.7%
INTC0.3%14 Aug 2024+206.7%
AMTM0.3%14 Aug 2025−11.7%
SIRI0.3%14 Aug 2025+32.0%
WCC0.2%14 Aug 2026−7.5%
LION0.2%14 Aug 2026+1.3%
CL0.2%14 Aug 2024+0.5%
WPM0.2%16 Jul 2026+14.4%
TOST0.2%19 Aug 2026−5.0%
WFC0.2%14 Aug 2024+65.9%
CMCSA0.2%14 Aug 2024−28.5%
IBM0.2%14 Aug 2024+40.6%
MTZ0.1%14 Sept 2026−14.7%
GIL0.1%16 Jul 2026−23.5%
AA0.1%14 Aug 2024+31.9%
LBTYK0.1%14 Aug 2024−21.7%
FIS0.1%19 Sept 2023−25.6%
CHTR0.1%14 Aug 2024−67.2%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest13 Feb 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+16.0%+19.2%0.600.99−24.7%0.83+0.7% (0.08)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+14.1%+21.8%0.601.16−17.3%0.66−0.6% (−0.07)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+21.8%+14.2%1.610.84−7.1%0.46+11.5% (1.35)
DateCompanyAction
14 Sept 2026MTZBought
19 Aug 2026TOSTBought
14 Aug 2026WCCBought
14 Aug 2026LIONBought
16 Jul 2026WPMBought
16 Jul 2026GILBought
16 Jul 2026ESABBought
16 Jul 2026EQTBought
19 Mar 2026LINBought
22 Dec 2025TXNBought
19 Sept 2025AMCRBought
21 Aug 2025CHKPBought
14 Aug 2025SIRIBought
14 Aug 2025JBought
14 Aug 2025GOOGLBought
14 Aug 2025FWONKBought
14 Aug 2025AMTMBought
16 May 2025FCNCABought
21 Apr 2025NVTBought
23 Jan 2025CPBought
23 Sept 2024FTVBought
20 Aug 2024ABTBought
14 Aug 2024XOMBought
14 Aug 2024WFCBought
14 Aug 2024VZBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2026FWONKSold
16 Jul 2026CHKPSold
22 Jun 2026BDXSold
26 May 2026TTWOSold
26 May 2026FCNCASold
20 Feb 2026GMSold
15 Oct 2025BENSold
14 Aug 2025XOMSold
14 Aug 2025NKESold
14 Aug 2025MMMSold
14 Aug 2025HSBCSold
14 Aug 2025GEHCSold
14 Aug 2025GESold
14 Aug 2025BKUSold
14 Aug 2025AMGNSold
14 Aug 2025ADBESold
17 Jul 2025WCCSold
16 May 2025FTVSold
23 Jan 2025GOOGLSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest