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Congress: members

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.

Backtest from 14 Feb 2019 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+18.2%
S&P 500 +15.7%
Last 12 months
+10.3%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.76
S&P 500 0.74
Biggest drop
−35.8%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 20192020202120222023202420252026 $36.2k$30.9k
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.S&P 500 $10,000 in Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. from 14 Feb 2019 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (Democrat, CA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.'s trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+18.2%+15.7%
Total return+262%+209%
Last 12 months+10.3%+12.1%
Last 3 months−0.7%—
Last month−1.6%—
This year so far+8.5%—
Volatility a year20.8%18.0%
Sharpe ratio0.760.74
Biggest drop−35.8%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.121.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+0.9% (0.54)—
Share of weeks up59%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 2,312 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
NVDA13.2%17 Apr 2019+4321.0%
AAPL4.1%14 Feb 2019+728.9%
V2.7%17 Apr 2020+163.2%
GOOGL2.2%12 Sept 2019+363.3%
MSFT1.9%17 Apr 2020+206.2%
AMZN1.8%11 Mar 2019+197.8%
TPL1.7%14 Aug 2025+8.9%
SPHR1.6%7 May 2025+252.6%
JPM1.6%14 Feb 2019+309.9%
MA1.6%14 Aug 2020+109.0%
AVGO1.4%14 Aug 2020+1030.2%
PBT1.3%14 Aug 2025+96.2%
LB1.1%15 Sept 2025+55.0%
RVTY1.1%9 Jun 2025+65.2%
META0.9%14 Aug 2020+136.0%
TDY0.9%15 Oct 2020+101.3%
WPM0.9%14 Aug 2025+26.8%
COST0.9%17 Apr 2019+369.1%
MU0.8%14 Aug 2020+1794.7%
LPLA0.8%14 Aug 2020+265.4%
LNT0.8%6 Nov 2020+62.1%
FERG0.8%12 Feb 2025+37.8%
TSM0.8%14 Aug 2025+69.5%
MSTR0.8%14 Aug 2025−64.6%
LLY0.8%11 Mar 2019+1150.2%
MS0.7%17 Apr 2020+482.8%
BRK.B0.7%17 Apr 2020+190.6%
FWONK0.7%14 Aug 2025−4.7%
PANW0.6%14 Aug 2025+107.3%
SCHW0.6%14 Aug 2020+175.1%
BR0.6%11 Mar 2019+111.7%
CRM0.6%11 Mar 2020+51.5%
PWR0.6%13 Oct 2025+44.1%
DASH0.6%14 Aug 2025−23.2%
TSLA0.6%12 Jan 2021+43.6%
FSV0.5%10 Mar 2026+3.3%
ON0.5%17 Oct 2019+272.7%
NXPI0.5%11 Jul 2025+15.9%
BKNG0.5%17 Apr 2019+114.9%
BSX0.5%17 Apr 2020+15.3%
ADBE0.5%14 Aug 2020−43.3%
NOW0.5%11 Mar 2020+86.0%
FNV0.5%14 Aug 2025+30.2%
FLEX0.5%20 Aug 2019+1040.7%
AMAT0.4%14 Aug 2020+493.8%
ARMK0.4%7 May 2025+44.5%
CSX0.4%14 Aug 2020+126.4%
CBOE0.4%14 May 2020+283.4%
WRB0.4%11 Mar 2019+259.3%
CP0.4%16 Dec 2025+25.6%
NFLX0.4%14 Aug 2020+30.0%
JNJ0.4%14 Aug 2020+115.9%
APG0.4%12 Feb 2025+80.8%
WAT0.4%14 Aug 2020+109.8%
ABBV0.4%14 Aug 2020+285.4%
KLAC0.4%17 Apr 2020+938.8%
WMT0.4%14 Aug 2025+27.5%
WEX0.4%14 Aug 2020+16.3%
TFX0.3%14 Aug 2020−61.1%
JBHT0.3%14 Aug 2025+57.3%
PTC0.3%8 Apr 2025+42.5%
INTU0.3%13 Jan 2020+35.3%
XOM0.3%10 Mar 2026+23.7%
MSCI0.3%14 Aug 2020+91.1%
HD0.3%14 Aug 2020+41.7%
EPAC0.3%7 Mar 2025−5.8%
CTVA0.3%12 Sept 2019+189.6%
GMED0.3%20 Aug 2019+58.9%
PG0.3%14 Aug 2020+42.5%
GIL0.3%14 Aug 2020+131.3%
IR0.3%17 Apr 2020+210.4%
VLTO0.3%14 Aug 2025+8.2%
ETN0.3%14 Aug 2020+303.3%
AMD0.3%15 Oct 2020+472.5%
STE0.3%17 Apr 2020+59.3%
ST0.3%15 Oct 2020−7.5%
RBA0.3%14 Aug 2020+67.5%
PCVX0.3%7 May 2025+109.0%
ILMN0.3%14 Aug 2020−32.3%
RHP0.3%13 Jan 2020+93.3%
W0.3%14 Aug 2025+45.8%
TEL0.3%14 Aug 2020+152.5%
HALO0.3%6 Nov 2020+239.9%
RTO0.3%14 Aug 2025−1.5%
DCO0.3%14 Aug 2025+77.0%
CATY0.3%12 Sept 2019+136.3%
HQY0.3%17 Apr 2020+122.4%
ATRC0.2%19 Jun 2019+95.7%
BBIO0.2%15 Sept 2025+45.7%
CSW0.2%16 Dec 2025−6.8%
COCO0.2%8 Apr 2025+108.7%
TXN0.2%14 Aug 2020+165.1%
VCYT0.2%13 Jan 2020+74.0%
NUE0.2%14 May 2020+732.3%
KMX0.2%19 Feb 2020−42.8%
AVNT0.2%20 Aug 2020+98.1%
ARQT0.2%14 Aug 2025+95.6%
HLI0.2%17 Oct 2019+256.0%
PSA0.2%14 Aug 2020+115.9%
BCPC0.2%17 Jun 2020+93.2%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest14 Feb 2019 to 2 Nov 2026+18.2%+15.7%0.760.74−35.8%1.12+0.9% (0.54)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+21.6%+21.8%1.091.16−18.6%1.03−0.4% (−0.20)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+11.4%+14.2%0.690.84−7.8%0.83−0.8% (−0.18)
DateCompanyAction
13 Oct 2026YETIBought
13 Oct 2026CINFBought
13 Oct 2026BHEBought
11 Sept 2026WDAYBought
11 Sept 2026TYLBought
11 Sept 2026SNOWBought
11 Sept 2026MOG.ABought
11 Sept 2026IBMBought
11 Sept 2026GDDYBought
8 Sept 2026WDCBought
8 Sept 2026TTDBought
8 Sept 2026SFMBought
8 Sept 2026SAILBought
8 Sept 2026PRAXBought
8 Sept 2026MSBBought
8 Sept 2026MRVLBought
8 Sept 2026COMPBought
8 Sept 2026COINBought
8 Sept 2026ALKSBought
14 Aug 2026TTWOBought
14 Aug 2026ROKBought
14 Aug 2026QBought
14 Aug 2026METBought
14 Aug 2026CBought
6 Jul 2026MTNBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
13 Oct 2026WDCSold
13 Oct 2026RBCSold
13 Oct 2026OXMSold
13 Oct 2026MTSISold
13 Oct 2026ITTSold
13 Oct 2026FISSold
13 Oct 2026DPZSold
13 Oct 2026DECKSold
11 Sept 2026STRLSold
11 Sept 2026PHRSold
11 Sept 2026NKESold
11 Sept 2026LAMRSold
11 Sept 2026DLTRSold
11 Sept 2026COINSold
11 Sept 2026COHRSold
8 Sept 2026STZSold
8 Sept 2026LITESold
8 Sept 2026IBMSold
8 Sept 2026FNSold
8 Sept 2026FDXSold
8 Sept 2026DDSold
8 Sept 2026CRDOSold
8 Sept 2026CMCSASold
8 Sept 2026BABASold
8 Sept 2026AVAVSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest